AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the home side. AD Marco 09 sits in 6th place and has an identical points per game tally in the last 5 matches (0.6 PPG) as São João Ver, who are in 2nd position. The host team shows better efficiency in home matches (30% wins, 40% draws) and a higher xG ratio (1.31 vs 1.1 for the visitors). São João Ver, however, has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), recording as many as 60% draws on the road, which suggests a defensive approach. The form of both teams is poor – AD Marco has lost 4 of their last 5 matches, and the visitor has scored only 2 goals in that period. Considering the visitors' tendency to draw away, the poor form of both teams, and the balanced ball possession statistics (50% each), the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AD Marco 09 played São João Ver in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
AD Marco 09: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. São João Ver: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
AD Marco 09 scores 0.75 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. São João Ver scores 0.65 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AD Marco 09 45%, São João Ver 40%. Over 2.5: AD Marco 09 40%, São João Ver 35%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
AD Marco 09 has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.10. AD Marco 09: 11.1 shots per match, São João Ver: 7.9.
Match halves
AD Marco 09: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.30. São João Ver: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
AD Marco 09: 0-15 (4 goals). São João Ver: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the home side. AD Marco 09 sits in 6th place and has an identical points per game tally in the last 5 matches (0.6 PPG) as São João Ver, who are in 2nd position. The host team shows better efficiency in home matches (30% wins, 40% draws) and a higher xG ratio (1.31 vs 1.1 for the visitors). São João Ver, however, has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), recording as many as 60% draws on the road, which suggests a defensive approach. The form of both teams is poor – AD Marco has lost 4 of their last 5 matches, and the visitor has scored only 2 goals in that period. Considering the visitors' tendency to draw away, the poor form of both teams, and the balanced ball possession statistics (50% each), the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AD Marco 09 | São João Ver | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
São João Ver is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - AD Marco 09 · 1 pts / match - São João Ver
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AD Marco 09 is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - AD Marco 09 · 0.65 goals / match - São João Ver
AD Marco 09 scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while São João Ver keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
São João Ver scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while AD Marco 09 keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AD Marco 09
Over / Under - São João Ver
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AD Marco 09 is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - AD Marco 09 · 0.8 pts / match - São João Ver
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AD Marco 09 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
São João Ver - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AD Marco 09
São João Ver
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| AD Marco 09 | Liga | São João Ver | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.19 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 32% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AD Marco 09 1 - 1 - 0 São João Ver. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver?
The Liga 3 match finished AD Marco 09 2:1 São João Ver. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AD Marco 09 and São João Ver?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AD Marco 09 won 1, São João Ver won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver?
AD Marco 09 score 0.75 goals per game on average and São João Ver 0.65. The Liga 3 average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 45% of AD Marco 09's matches and 40% of São João Ver's.
What form are AD Marco 09 and São João Ver in?
Over the last 5 games AD Marco 09 have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and São João Ver 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver?
The statistical background for AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.