Adama Kenema vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics
Fasil Ketema displays impressive away form with an unbeaten run (0 away losses) and the league's best defensive record (just 0.2 goals conceded per away match). Adama Kenema holds a solid home record (50% win rate), though their attack is limited (0.67 goals per home match). A key factor is Fasil Ketema's advantage in xG metrics (1.49 vs 1.11) and significantly better defensive efficiency (80% clean sheets away). While form over the last five matches favors the visitors (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG), Fasil Ketema's high away draw percentage (60%) and the defensive nature of both sides suggest a share of the points is the most probable outcome.
Adama Kenema vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Adama Kenema played Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Adama Kenema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Fasil Ketema: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Adama Kenema scores 0.67 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Fasil Ketema scores 0.83 and concedes 0.25. League average: 1.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Adama Kenema 25%, Fasil Ketema 25%. Over 2.5: Adama Kenema 17%, Fasil Ketema 0%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Fasil Ketema has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.07. Adama Kenema: 6.5 shots per match, Fasil Ketema: 9.2.
Match halves
Adama Kenema: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.42. Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Adama Kenema: 76-90+ (4 goals). Fasil Ketema: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.80 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fasil Ketema displays impressive away form with an unbeaten run (0 away losses) and the league's best defensive record (just 0.2 goals conceded per away match). Adama Kenema holds a solid home record (50% win rate), though their attack is limited (0.67 goals per home match). A key factor is Fasil Ketema's advantage in xG metrics (1.49 vs 1.11) and significantly better defensive efficiency (80% clean sheets away). While form over the last five matches favors the visitors (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG), Fasil Ketema's high away draw percentage (60%) and the defensive nature of both sides suggest a share of the points is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Adama Kenema | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fasil Ketema is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fasil Ketema is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 0.83 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Fasil Ketema is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 0.25 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Adama Kenema scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 75% (9 of 12 matches).
Fasil Ketema scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 75% (9 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Adama Kenema
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1.5 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Adama Kenema
Fasil Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Adama Kenema | Liga | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.17 | 1.80 | ▼ 1.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 37% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 58% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 42% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Adama Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Adama Kenema 0:0 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Adama Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?
Adama Kenema score 0.67 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.83. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Adama Kenema's matches and 25% of Fasil Ketema's.
What form are Adama Kenema and Fasil Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Adama Kenema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adama Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.