Adama Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter with an advantage for a draw. Adama Kenema presents solid home form with 75% clean sheets and only 13% losses at home, yet the team has a tendency to draw (50% of home matches). Mekelle Kenema shows improved defense in their last five away matches (50% clean sheets) and identical form in the last five meetings (1.8 PPG) as the hosts. Both teams have low scoring efficiency (0.75 goals on average per match) and similar xG values, suggesting balanced offensive potential. Considering the hosts' high propensity for draws in home matches and the visitors' improving form, the most likely result is a split of points, though the hosts hold a slight advantage thanks to the home pitch factor.
Adama Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Adama Kenema played Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Adama Kenema: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Adama Kenema scores 0.88 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 1.00 and concedes 1.13. League average: 1.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Adama Kenema 38%, Mekelle Kenema 56%. Over 2.5: Adama Kenema 25%, Mekelle Kenema 44%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelle Kenema has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.08. Adama Kenema: 6.4 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 6.7.
Match halves
Adama Kenema: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.56. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Adama Kenema: 76-90+ (5 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.77 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter with an advantage for a draw. Adama Kenema presents solid home form with 75% clean sheets and only 13% losses at home, yet the team has a tendency to draw (50% of home matches). Mekelle Kenema shows improved defense in their last five away matches (50% clean sheets) and identical form in the last five meetings (1.8 PPG) as the hosts. Both teams have low scoring efficiency (0.75 goals on average per match) and similar xG values, suggesting balanced offensive potential. Considering the hosts' high propensity for draws in home matches and the visitors' improving form, the most likely result is a split of points, though the hosts hold a slight advantage thanks to the home pitch factor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Adama Kenema | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 1 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Adama Kenema is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.69 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 1.13 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Adama Kenema scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Mekelle Kenema scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 63% (10 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Adama Kenema
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1.5 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Adama Kenema
Mekelle Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Adama Kenema | Liga | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.56 | 1.77 | ▲ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 43% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 39% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Adama Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Adama Kenema 0:0 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Adama Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?
Adama Kenema score 0.88 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Adama Kenema's matches and 56% of Mekelle Kenema's.
What form are Adama Kenema and Mekelle Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Adama Kenema have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adama Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.