Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Adama Kenema occupies a higher table position (5th place), yet their home form is mixed with 50% draws and only 30% wins at their own stadium. The hosts possess a solid defense at home (70% clean sheets, averaging 0.6 goals conceded), but struggle offensively (50% of matches without scoring, averaging 0.6 goals). Sheger Ketema has shown recent improvement - they are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws) and have conceded only 1 goal, evidencing defensive solidity. The visitors have balanced away statistics (33% wins, draws, and losses) and better shot efficiency (12% vs 8%). Considering the hosts' weak offense, the defensive solidity of both teams, and Adama Kenema's high propensity for home draws (50%), a sharing of points is the most likely outcome.
Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Adama Kenema played Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 26 February 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Adama Kenema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sheger Ketema: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Adama Kenema scores 0.80 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. Sheger Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Adama Kenema 35%, Sheger Ketema 42%. Over 2.5: Adama Kenema 20%, Sheger Ketema 26%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Adama Kenema has higher xG: 1.10 vs 1.07. Adama Kenema: 6.1 shots per match, Sheger Ketema: 7.3.
Match halves
Adama Kenema: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.55. Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.37.
Goals by minute
Adama Kenema: 76-90+ (5 goals). Sheger Ketema: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Adama Kenema occupies a higher table position (5th place), yet their home form is mixed with 50% draws and only 30% wins at their own stadium. The hosts possess a solid defense at home (70% clean sheets, averaging 0.6 goals conceded), but struggle offensively (50% of matches without scoring, averaging 0.6 goals). Sheger Ketema has shown recent improvement - they are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws) and have conceded only 1 goal, evidencing defensive solidity. The visitors have balanced away statistics (33% wins, draws, and losses) and better shot efficiency (12% vs 8%). Considering the hosts' weak offense, the defensive solidity of both teams, and Adama Kenema's high propensity for home draws (50%), a sharing of points is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Adama Kenema | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Adama Kenema is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1.4 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adama Kenema is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 0.74 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Adama Kenema is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 0.84 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Adama Kenema scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 matches).
Sheger Ketema scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 60% (12 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Adama Kenema
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheger Ketema is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1.21 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Adama Kenema
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Adama Kenema | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.45 | 1.72 | ▼ 1.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 41% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 26% | • 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 41% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▼ 37% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sheger KetemaGoalBiniyam Fikru
- Sheger KetemaGoalHenok Adugna
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Adama Kenema 0 - 1 - 0 Sheger Ketema. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Adama Kenema 3:3 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
Adama Kenema score 0.80 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Adama Kenema's matches and 42% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Adama Kenema and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Adama Kenema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
The statistical background for Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.