Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners: match statistics
Adelaide United presents impressive home form with an 80% win rate and a +6 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have won four of their last five home matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. Central Coast Mariners are in dire away form, losing 75% of matches on foreign soil and conceding an average of 2 goals per game. The visitors have earned just 1 point in their last five matches overall, indicating a deep crisis of form. The difference in quality of play, scoring efficiency, and current disposition of both teams unequivocally points to a high probability of victory for Adelaide United. xG statistics also favor the hosts, who are more efficient both offensively and defensively on their home turf.
Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Adelaide United played Central Coast Mariners in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Adelaide United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Central Coast Mariners: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Adelaide United scores 1.60 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Central Coast Mariners scores 1.10 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Adelaide United 70%, Central Coast Mariners 70%. Over 2.5: Adelaide United 70%, Central Coast Mariners 60%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Adelaide United has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.03. Adelaide United: 11.1 shots per match, Central Coast Mariners: 9.2.
Match halves
Adelaide United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.00. Central Coast Mariners: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Adelaide United: 61-75 (5 goals). Central Coast Mariners: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Adelaide United presents impressive home form with an 80% win rate and a +6 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have won four of their last five home matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. Central Coast Mariners are in dire away form, losing 75% of matches on foreign soil and conceding an average of 2 goals per game. The visitors have earned just 1 point in their last five matches overall, indicating a deep crisis of form. The difference in quality of play, scoring efficiency, and current disposition of both teams unequivocally points to a high probability of victory for Adelaide United. xG statistics also favor the hosts, who are more efficient both offensively and defensively on their home turf.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Adelaide United | Central Coast Mariners | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Adelaide United is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Adelaide United · 0.2 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adelaide United is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Adelaide United · 1.1 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Adelaide United · 1.7 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Central Coast Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Central Coast Mariners scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Adelaide United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Adelaide United
Over / Under - Central Coast Mariners
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adelaide United is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Adelaide United · 1 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Adelaide United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Central Coast Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Adelaide United | Liga | Central Coast Mariners | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.90 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 52% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 29% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 69% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners?
The A-League match finished Adelaide United 0:4 Central Coast Mariners. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners?
Adelaide United score 1.60 goals per game on average and Central Coast Mariners 1.10. The A-League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Adelaide United's matches and 70% of Central Coast Mariners's.
What form are Adelaide United and Central Coast Mariners in?
Over the last 5 games Adelaide United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Central Coast Mariners 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners?
The statistical background for Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.