Adelaide United vs Macarthur: match statistics
Adelaide United presents impressive home form with 71% of matches won at home and a goal difference of +3 at their own stadium. The hosts have won four of their last five home matches, confirming their solidity before their own crowd. Macarthur FC achieves decent results on the road (43% wins), however, their average xG (1.57) exceeds their actual effectiveness (1.29 goals per game), suggesting problems with finishing actions. Adelaide records a higher average of goals scored in home matches (1.86) with a similar level of conceded goals (1.43), giving them an offensive advantage. The form of both teams in the last five matches is balanced, but Adelaide's home advantage and excellent record on their own turf tip the scales of victory to their side. An even match is expected with a slight advantage for the hosts, hence a significant probability of a draw as well.
Adelaide United vs Macarthur: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Adelaide United played Macarthur in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Adelaide United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Macarthur: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Adelaide United scores 1.64 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Macarthur scores 1.40 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Adelaide United 71%, Macarthur 53%. Over 2.5: Adelaide United 79%, Macarthur 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Macarthur has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.36. Adelaide United: 11.7 shots per match, Macarthur: 13.0.
Match halves
Adelaide United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.00. Macarthur: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Adelaide United: 61-75 (6 goals). Macarthur: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Adelaide United presents impressive home form with 71% of matches won at home and a goal difference of +3 at their own stadium. The hosts have won four of their last five home matches, confirming their solidity before their own crowd. Macarthur FC achieves decent results on the road (43% wins), however, their average xG (1.57) exceeds their actual effectiveness (1.29 goals per game), suggesting problems with finishing actions. Adelaide records a higher average of goals scored in home matches (1.86) with a similar level of conceded goals (1.43), giving them an offensive advantage. The form of both teams in the last five matches is balanced, but Adelaide's home advantage and excellent record on their own turf tip the scales of victory to their side. An even match is expected with a slight advantage for the hosts, hence a significant probability of a draw as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Adelaide United | Macarthur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Adelaide United is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Adelaide United · 1.6 pts / match - Macarthur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adelaide United is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Adelaide United · 1.4 goals / match - Macarthur
Macarthur is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Adelaide United · 1.33 goals / match - Macarthur
Adelaide United scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Macarthur keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Macarthur scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Adelaide United keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Adelaide United
Over / Under - Macarthur
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adelaide United is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Adelaide United · 1.33 pts / match - Macarthur
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Adelaide United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Macarthur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Adelaide United
Macarthur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Adelaide United | Liga | Macarthur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.73 | • 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Adelaide United 0 - 0 - 1 Macarthur. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Adelaide United vs Macarthur?
The A-League match finished Adelaide United 1:1 Macarthur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Adelaide United vs Macarthur?
Adelaide United score 1.64 goals per game on average and Macarthur 1.40. The A-League average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Adelaide United's matches and 53% of Macarthur's.
What form are Adelaide United and Macarthur in?
Over the last 5 games Adelaide United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Macarthur 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adelaide United vs Macarthur?
The statistical background for Adelaide United vs Macarthur — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.