Adhyaksa vs Sumsel United: match statistics
Adhyaksa presents decidedly better form at their home stadium, with a 57% home win rate and an impressive average of 2.29 goals per match. The hosts hold an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.75 vs 1.19 for the visitors away) and demonstrate significantly better shot conversion (16% vs 8%). Sumsel United struggles with serious issues in away matches, recording only 29% wins and a negative goal difference (-3), as well as a high percentage of matches without scoring (29%). The recent form of both teams is balanced (1.4 vs 2.0 PPG), but Adhyaksa's home stats contrasted with Sumsel United's away weaknesses speak in favor of the hosts. I expect an Adhyaksa victory, though the visitors' solid defensive organization (1.14 goals conceded per away match) may result in a win by a narrow margin.
Adhyaksa vs Sumsel United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Adhyaksa played Sumsel United in Liga 2 (Indonesia). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Adhyaksa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sumsel United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Adhyaksa scores 1.80 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Sumsel United scores 1.47 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Adhyaksa 60%, Sumsel United 67%. Over 2.5: Adhyaksa 40%, Sumsel United 47%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Adhyaksa has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.29. Adhyaksa: 11.5 shots per match, Sumsel United: 8.7.
Match halves
Adhyaksa: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.87. Sumsel United: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Adhyaksa: 76-90+ (6 goals). Sumsel United: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 2: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Adhyaksa presents decidedly better form at their home stadium, with a 57% home win rate and an impressive average of 2.29 goals per match. The hosts hold an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.75 vs 1.19 for the visitors away) and demonstrate significantly better shot conversion (16% vs 8%). Sumsel United struggles with serious issues in away matches, recording only 29% wins and a negative goal difference (-3), as well as a high percentage of matches without scoring (29%). The recent form of both teams is balanced (1.4 vs 2.0 PPG), but Adhyaksa's home stats contrasted with Sumsel United's away weaknesses speak in favor of the hosts. I expect an Adhyaksa victory, though the visitors' solid defensive organization (1.14 goals conceded per away match) may result in a win by a narrow margin.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Adhyaksa | Sumsel United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sumsel United is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Adhyaksa · 2 pts / match - Sumsel United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adhyaksa is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Adhyaksa · 1.47 goals / match - Sumsel United
Adhyaksa scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Sumsel United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Sumsel United scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Adhyaksa keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Adhyaksa
Over / Under - Sumsel United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adhyaksa is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Adhyaksa · 1.07 pts / match - Sumsel United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Adhyaksa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sumsel United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Adhyaksa
Sumsel United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 2).
Teams vs league
| Adhyaksa | Liga | Sumsel United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.62 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 68% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Adhyaksa 1 - 0 - 0 Sumsel United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Adhyaksa vs Sumsel United?
The Liga 2 match finished Adhyaksa 2:1 Sumsel United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Adhyaksa vs Sumsel United?
Adhyaksa score 1.80 goals per game on average and Sumsel United 1.47. The Liga 2 average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Adhyaksa's matches and 67% of Sumsel United's.
What form are Adhyaksa and Sumsel United in?
Over the last 5 games Adhyaksa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sumsel United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adhyaksa vs Sumsel United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.