Admira vs Voitsberg: match statistics

Admira have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Voitsberg have managed just 1 win over the same period and conceded 14 goals, making the hosts slight favourites. Their chances are also boosted by a stronger defensive record at home: they concede an average of 0.67 goals there, compared with 2.33 for the visitors away from home. However, backing Admira comes with risk, as they score just 0.33 goals per home match and have failed to score in 67% of those games. Voitsberg average 1.67 goals away from home, and their xG stands at 2.09, compared with Admira’s 1.81 xG at home, suggesting they can create more dangerous chances. The hosts’ edge is based primarily on their recent results and the difference in defensive performance, although the visitors’ more potent attack could make this a closely contested match.

BTTS occurred in 75% of Admira’s matches and 100% of Voitsberg’s, pointing to a strong likelihood of both teams scoring. The visitors average 1.67 goals per match and have yet to be held scoreless, while their xG of 2.09 gives them solid grounds to find the net against Admira as well. Voitsberg, meanwhile, concede an average of 2.33 goals per match, rising to 2.8 across their last five games, which boosts the hosts’ chances of scoring. Some caution is warranted given that BTTS landed in only 20% of Admira’s last five matches. However, in this matchup, the visitors’ defensive record and attacking output make BTTS - Yes the stronger pick.

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was exceeded in 75% of Admira’s matches and 100% of Voitsberg’s. The visitors score an average of 1.67 goals but concede 2.33, and have allowed as many as 2.8 goals per game across their last five matches. Admira create chances worth an average of 1.42 xG, while Voitsberg average 2.09 xG, supporting the expectation of goals at both ends. The Over 2.5 goals line is also well supported, but it has landed in 50% of Admira’s matches compared with 67% of Voitsberg’s, making Over 1.5 the clearer signal. The projected total of 3.35 goals is close to the league average of 3.3 and points to at least two goals in the match.

The strongest signal is Admira taking a lead at the break: the hosts did so in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Voitsberg did not lead at half-time once in that span and were trailing on 3 occasions. In those same matches, Admira conceded an average of 0.2 goals before half-time, compared with 1.0 for Voitsberg, further supporting a home lead at the break. Both teams’ form favors Admira holding on to that advantage: the hosts won 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 1.0 goal, while Voitsberg won only once and conceded 2.8 goals on average. The visitors remain dangerous, with an average xG of 2.09 compared with Admira’s 1.42, and they score an average of 1.0 goal after the break, making a turnaround a realistic alternative. Nevertheless, the combination of Admira frequently leading at half-time and Voitsberg’s poor defending makes the hosts leading both at half-time and at full-time the most likely scenario in the HT/FT market.