Netherlands - EredivisieWerkTalent StadionData current as of 14 October 2026

ADO Den Haag vs PSV: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

ADO Den Haag vs PSV: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

ADO Den Haag play PSV in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: WerkTalent Stadion.

Current form

ADO Den Haag: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. PSV: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

ADO Den Haag scores 1.13 and concedes 2.38 goals per match. PSV scores 3.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.74 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: ADO Den Haag 75%, PSV 88%. Over 2.5: ADO Den Haag 63%, PSV 88%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.

xG, shots and style

PSV has higher xG: 2.37 vs 1.15. ADO Den Haag: 10.9 shots per match, PSV: 20.4.

Match halves

ADO Den Haag: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75. PSV: half-time lead 88%, second-half goals 1.63.

Goals by minute

ADO Den Haag: 46-60 (3 goals). PSV: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.74 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(9.15)
(6.73)
(1.28)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.13Goals scored / match3.25
ADO Den HaagPSV
2.38Goals conceded / match1.25
ADO Den HaagPSV
47%Average possession63%
ADO Den HaagPSV
3.25Shots on target / match7.63
ADO Den HaagPSV

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.88Shots per match20.38
ADO Den HaagPSV
3.25Shots on target7.63
ADO Den HaagPSV
10.3%Shot conversion16%
ADO Den HaagPSV
47%Possession63%
ADO Den HaagPSV
1.15xG for2.37
ADO Den HaagPSV
2.05xG against1.16
ADO Den HaagPSV

Shooting quality

ADO Den Haag: BalancedPSV: Dominant
ADO Den HaagPSV
Accuracy (shots on target)30%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

PSV is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - ADO Den Haag · 2.4 pts / match - PSV

ADO Den Haag
DLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W38% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-5
0.38 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 at home
0-1-2
LLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 2.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
PSV
WWWLW
Season result split
75% W13% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-1
2.38 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 away
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.26Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PSV is 188% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - ADO Den Haag · 3.25 goals / match - PSV

PSV is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.38 goals / match - ADO Den Haag · 1.25 goals / match - PSV

ADO Den Haag scoring profile: very strong

ADO Den Haag scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

PSV scoring profile: very strong

PSV scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while ADO Den Haag keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

9Goals scored (season)26
ADO Den HaagPSV
19Goals conceded (season)10
ADO Den HaagPSV
3.5Average goals in match4.5
ADO Den HaagPSV
7Goals scored (last 5)17
ADO Den HaagPSV
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
ADO Den HaagPSV

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal100%
ADO Den HaagPSV
38%2 goals100%
ADO Den HaagPSV
0%3 goals50%
ADO Den HaagPSV
0%4 goals38%
ADO Den HaagPSV

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal88%
ADO Den HaagPSV
88%2 goals25%
ADO Den HaagPSV
38%3 goals13%
ADO Den HaagPSV
13%4 goals0%
ADO Den HaagPSV

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time63%
ADO Den HaagPSV
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ADO Den HaagPSV
13%Scored in both halves75%
ADO Den HaagPSV

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS88%
ADO Den HaagPSV
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ADO Den HaagPSV
80%BTTS - last 580%
ADO Den HaagPSV

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
ADO Den HaagPSV
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time63%
ADO Den HaagPSV
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time63%
ADO Den HaagPSV

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
ADO Den HaagPSV
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time75%
ADO Den HaagPSV
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
ADO Den HaagPSV

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

PSV is 251% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / match - ADO Den Haag · 2.63 pts / match - PSV

ADO Den Haag - half-time state
13% leading38% draw50% trailing
PSV - half-time state
88% leading0% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per match (1st half)2.63
ADO Den HaagPSV
0.38Goals scored (1st half)1.63
ADO Den HaagPSV
1.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
ADO Den HaagPSV
1.5Average goals (1st half)2.38
ADO Den HaagPSV
38%Clean sheet before half-time25%
ADO Den HaagPSV
75%No goal before half-time13%
ADO Den HaagPSV

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)2.38
ADO Den HaagPSV
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)1.63
ADO Den HaagPSV
1.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
ADO Den HaagPSV
2Average goals (2nd half)2.13
ADO Den HaagPSV
25%Clean sheet after half-time63%
ADO Den HaagPSV
38%No goal after half-time13%
ADO Den HaagPSV

ADO Den Haag - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PSV - second-half results

75% W13% D13% L
21
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 88% of matches and wins 75%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

ADO Den Haag - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
PSV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.002.40
Goals scored / match1.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match2.62.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals80%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+5+6
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

ADO Den Haag
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
5
31-45
3
0
46-60
1
8
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

PSV
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
4
1
16-30
5
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 2.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
82%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

ADO Den Haag

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

PSV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.88
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
160%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

ADO Den HaagLigaPSV
Average goals in match▼ 3.503.74▲ 4.50
Both teams scored▲ 75%69%▲ 88%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 63%72%▲ 88%
Clean sheets▼ 0%16%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time▼ 75%81%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time• 88%89%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.74
Average goals per match
69%
Both teams scored
72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / match
2.03
Away goals / match
+-16%
Home attack advantage
+-19%
Home defence advantage
+-9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
65%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

FAQ

When do ADO Den Haag and PSV play?

ADO Den Haag face PSV on 17 October 2026 in Eredivisie at WerkTalent Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before ADO Den Haag vs PSV?

ADO Den Haag score 1.13 goals per game on average and PSV 3.25. The Eredivisie average is 3.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 75% of ADO Den Haag's matches and 88% of PSV's.

What form are ADO Den Haag and PSV in?

Over the last 5 games ADO Den Haag have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and PSV 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ADO Den Haag vs PSV?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.