AEK Athens vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AEK Athens play Aris in Super League (Greece). The match date is 23 November 2025 at 20:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

AEK Athens: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Aris: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

AEK Athens scores 1.78 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Aris scores 1.06 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AEK Athens 38%, Aris 50%. Over 2.5: AEK Athens 41%, Aris 34%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

AEK Athens has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.49. AEK Athens: 15.0 shots per match, Aris: 13.8.

Match halves

AEK Athens: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.16. Aris: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

AEK Athens: 61-75 (15 goals). Aris: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

66Possession (%)34
AEK AthensAris
27Shots6
AEK AthensAris
7Shots on target3
AEK AthensAris
2.66xG0.72
AEK AthensAris
10Corners1
AEK AthensAris
66Dangerous attacks17
AEK AthensAris
13Fouls11
AEK AthensAris
3Cards2
AEK AthensAris

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.78Goals scored / match1.06
AEK AthensAris
0.63Goals conceded / match1
AEK AthensAris
57%Average possession51%
AEK AthensAris
4.81Shots on target / match4.22
AEK AthensAris

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15Shots per match13.84
AEK AthensAris
4.81Shots on target4.22
AEK AthensAris
11.9%Shot conversion7.7%
AEK AthensAris
57%Possession51%
AEK AthensAris
1.68xG for1.49
AEK AthensAris
1.04xG against1.21
AEK AthensAris

Shooting quality

AEK Athens: DominantAris: Balanced
AEK AthensAris
Accuracy (shots on target)32%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aris is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - AEK Athens · 3 pts / match - Aris

AEK Athens
WDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
66% W28% R6% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-9-2
2.25 pts / match · goal difference +37
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Aris
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
34% W41% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-13-8
1.44 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AEK Athens is 68% better for: goals scored per match.

1.78 goals / match - AEK Athens · 1.06 goals / match - Aris

AEK Athens is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.63 goals / match - AEK Athens · 1 goals / match - Aris

AEK Athens scoring profile: very strong

AEK Athens scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).

Aris scoring profile: mixed

Aris scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while AEK Athens keeps a clean sheet in 56% (18 of 32 matches).

57Goals scored (season)34
AEK AthensAris
20Goals conceded (season)32
AEK AthensAris
2.41Average goals in match2.06
AEK AthensAris
7Goals scored (last 5)13
AEK AthensAris
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
AEK AthensAris

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal69%
AEK AthensAris
44%2 goals28%
AEK AthensAris
28%3 goals9%
AEK AthensAris
16%4 goals0%
AEK AthensAris

How often they concede at least...

44%1 goal66%
AEK AthensAris
19%2 goals25%
AEK AthensAris
0%3 goals9%
AEK AthensAris
0%4 goals0%
AEK AthensAris

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time16%
AEK AthensAris
3%BTTS in both halves0%
AEK AthensAris
25%Scored in both halves22%
AEK AthensAris

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
AEK AthensAris
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
AEK AthensAris
60%BTTS - last 560%
AEK AthensAris

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
AEK AthensAris
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
AEK AthensAris
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
AEK AthensAris

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
AEK AthensAris
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time34%
AEK AthensAris
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
AEK AthensAris

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AEK Athens is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - AEK Athens · 1.41 pts / match - Aris

AEK Athens - half-time state
38% leading44% draw19% trailing
Aris - half-time state
31% leading47% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1.41
AEK AthensAris
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.5
AEK AthensAris
0.28Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
AEK AthensAris
0.91Average goals (1st half)0.88
AEK AthensAris
75%Clean sheet before half-time69%
AEK AthensAris
53%No goal before half-time53%
AEK AthensAris

After half-time (2nd half)

1.91Points per match (2nd half)1.13
AEK AthensAris
1.16Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
AEK AthensAris
0.34Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
AEK AthensAris
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.19
AEK AthensAris
69%Clean sheet after half-time53%
AEK AthensAris
34%No goal after half-time56%
AEK AthensAris

AEK Athens - second-half results

50% W41% R9% P
50
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
61
Second-half points
+26
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding174%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Aris - second-half results

25% W38% R38% P
45
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AEK Athens - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Aris - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.20
Goals scored / match1.01.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+3+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AEK Athens
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
7
1
16-30
7
4
31-45
9
1
46-60
15
7
61-75
13
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

Aris
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
7
3
16-30
6
5
31-45
3
10
46-60
8
3
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.24
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AEK Athens

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Aris

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

AEK AthensLigaAris
Average goals in match 2.412.57 2.06
Both teams scored 38%49% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%50% 34%
Clean sheets 56%30% 34%
Goal before half-time 63%71% 63%
Goal after half-time 72%75% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: AEK Athens 0 - 1 - 0 Aris. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of AEK Athens vs Aris?

The Super League match finished AEK Athens 1:0 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before AEK Athens vs Aris?

AEK Athens score 1.78 goals per game on average and Aris 1.06. The Super League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 38% of AEK Athens's matches and 50% of Aris's.

What form are AEK Athens and Aris in?

Over the last 5 games AEK Athens have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Aris 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Athens vs Aris?

The statistical background for AEK Athens vs Aris — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.