AEK Athens vs Larissa: match statistics
AEK Athens presents a decisive advantage in all key statistics. The hosts boast an impressive record of 82% wins at home, averaging 1.91 goals scored while conceding just 0.45 per home match. Their home form (wwwlwwwwwdw) and 64% clean sheets confirm defensive solidity. Larissa, on the other hand, presents poor disposition on away trips – only 18% won matches, 45% losses, and a negative goal difference (-7). The guests concede an average of 1.55 goals per away match and fail to score in 36% of encounters. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.81 vs 1.18) and possession (57% vs 40%) additionally speaks for the hosts. Considering all statistical data, AEK Athens should confidently win this meeting before their own crowd.
AEK Athens vs Larissa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEK Athens play Larissa in Super League (Greece). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
AEK Athens: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Larissa: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEK Athens scores 1.78 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Larissa scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEK Athens 38%, Larissa 61%. Over 2.5: AEK Athens 41%, Larissa 39%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Athens has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.25. AEK Athens: 15.0 shots per match, Larissa: 11.4.
Match halves
AEK Athens: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.16. Larissa: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
AEK Athens: 61-75 (15 goals). Larissa: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
AEK Athens presents a decisive advantage in all key statistics. The hosts boast an impressive record of 82% wins at home, averaging 1.91 goals scored while conceding just 0.45 per home match. Their home form (wwwlwwwwwdw) and 64% clean sheets confirm defensive solidity. Larissa, on the other hand, presents poor disposition on away trips – only 18% won matches, 45% losses, and a negative goal difference (-7). The guests concede an average of 1.55 goals per away match and fail to score in 36% of encounters. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.81 vs 1.18) and possession (57% vs 40%) additionally speaks for the hosts. Considering all statistical data, AEK Athens should confidently win this meeting before their own crowd.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Athens | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Athens is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - AEK Athens · 1.2 pts / match - Larissa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Athens is 89% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - AEK Athens · 0.94 goals / match - Larissa
AEK Athens is 148% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.63 goals / match - AEK Athens · 1.56 goals / match - Larissa
AEK Athens scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
Larissa scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while AEK Athens keeps a clean sheet in 56% (18 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AEK Athens
Over / Under — Larissa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Athens is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - AEK Athens · 0.69 pts / match - Larissa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Athens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Larissa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEK Athens
Larissa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| AEK Athens | Liga | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.57 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 49% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AEK Athens 0 - 1 - 0 Larissa. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Athens vs Larissa?
The Super League match finished AEK Athens 1:0 Larissa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Athens vs Larissa?
AEK Athens score 1.78 goals per game on average and Larissa 0.94. The Super League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 38% of AEK Athens's matches and 61% of Larissa's.
What form are AEK Athens and Larissa in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Athens have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Larissa 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Athens vs Larissa?
The statistical background for AEK Athens vs Larissa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.