AEK Athens vs OFI: match statistics
AEK Athens vs OFI: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEK Athens played OFI in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: OPAP Arena. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
AEK Athens: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. OFI: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEK Athens scores 2.60 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. OFI scores 1.60 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEK Athens 60%, OFI 40%. Over 2.5: AEK Athens 60%, OFI 40%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Athens has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.18. AEK Athens: 17.2 shots per match, OFI: 10.8.
Match halves
AEK Athens: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.80. OFI: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
AEK Athens: 61-75 (6 goals). OFI: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Athens and OFI have each earned 13 points in their last five matches, but home advantage clearly favors the hosts. AEK have won both of their home games so far, scoring an average of 4.5 goals and conceding none, while OFI have recorded one win and one defeat away from home, with a goal difference of 0. The hosts average 10.5 shots on target per home match, compared with OFI’s 3.5 away from home, pointing to a significantly greater attacking threat from AEK. The difference in chance quality is reflected in the xG figures: AEK register 2.53 at home, while OFI post 1.19 away; the visitors also allow opponents chances worth 2.03 xG per match. OFI’s strong run, having avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, tempers confidence in the prediction, but the numbers point to an AEK win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is AEK’s defence: the hosts kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches and conceded an average of just 0.67 goals. OFI scored an average of 1.0 goals away from home, although its average xG of 1.19 shows that it can create chances. OFI’s recent form increases the risk for this pick: it scored 10 goals in 5 matches, while AEK kept a clean sheet in 2 of its last 5 games. Even so, BTTS - Yes landed in only 33% of AEK’s home matches and 20% of OFI’s last 5 matches, so it is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
AEK score an average of 2.0 goals at home, and at least 2 goals were scored in 100% of their home matches, supporting Over 1.5 goals. OFI average 1.0 goal away from home, but AEK concede just 0.67 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches, so the hosts are expected to contribute the larger share of the goals. Over their last 5 matches, AEK scored an average of 3.4 goals, although their average xG was 1.89; this gap calls for caution with higher goal lines. Over 1.5 has the strongest statistical backing: it landed in all of AEK’s home matches, while Over 2.5 was achieved in only 33% of them.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest case is for AEK to lead at the break and win the match: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 2 of their 3 home games, while OFI did not lead at the break in either of their 2 away matches. AEK average 1.67 first-half goals at home, whereas OFI have yet to score before half-time away from home. Over the full match, the hosts average 2 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, compared with OFI’s away average of 1 goal scored and 1 conceded; their opponents also create chances worth an average of 2.03 xG against them. However, OFI have won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.2 goals after the break over that period, so a turnaround remains a genuine threat. Even so, AEK’s early-match advantage and home record of 2 wins and a draw make the hosts leading at half-time and holding on to win the most likely single outcome in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Athens | OFI | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Athens is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - AEK Athens · 2 pts / match - OFI
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Athens is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
2.6 goals / match - AEK Athens · 1.6 goals / match - OFI
AEK Athens is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - AEK Athens · 0.8 goals / match - OFI
AEK Athens scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while OFI keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
OFI scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while AEK Athens keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEK Athens
Over / Under - OFI
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Athens is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - AEK Athens · 1.6 pts / match - OFI
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Athens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
OFI - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEK Athens
OFI
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| AEK Athens | Liga | OFI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.20 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 43% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AEK Athens 2 - 0 - 0 OFI. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Athens vs OFI?
The Super League match finished AEK Athens 3:0 OFI. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AEK Athens and OFI?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AEK Athens won 2, OFI won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Athens vs OFI?
AEK Athens score 2.60 goals per game on average and OFI 1.60. The Super League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 60% of AEK Athens's matches and 40% of OFI's.
What form are AEK Athens and OFI in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Athens have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and OFI 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Athens vs OFI?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.