AEK Larnaca vs Akritas: match statistics
AEK Larnaca demonstrates a decisive advantage in all key statistics. The hosts occupy 3rd place with an impressive +12 goal difference at home, while Akritas is in 10th position with a negative balance of -8 away. AEK Larnaca wins 58% of home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game with only 8% of matches ending without scoring. Akritas loses half of their away matches, scoring an average of only 1.08 goals, and failing to find the net in 42% of cases. The advantage in possession (59% vs 43%), shot efficiency, and Expected Goals (xG 1.63 vs 0.96) further confirms the hosts' dominance. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches is identical in terms of points (1.4 PPG), but AEK Larnaca possesses significantly better quality at home, which should translate into a comfortable victory.
AEK Larnaca vs Akritas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEK Larnaca played Akritas in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
AEK Larnaca: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Akritas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEK Larnaca scores 1.83 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Akritas scores 0.96 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEK Larnaca 58%, Akritas 38%. Over 2.5: AEK Larnaca 50%, Akritas 50%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Larnaca has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.02. AEK Larnaca: 11.8 shots per match, Akritas: 7.8.
Match halves
AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.83. Akritas: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
AEK Larnaca: 31-45+ (9 goals). Akritas: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Larnaca demonstrates a decisive advantage in all key statistics. The hosts occupy 3rd place with an impressive +12 goal difference at home, while Akritas is in 10th position with a negative balance of -8 away. AEK Larnaca wins 58% of home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game with only 8% of matches ending without scoring. Akritas loses half of their away matches, scoring an average of only 1.08 goals, and failing to find the net in 42% of cases. The advantage in possession (59% vs 43%), shot efficiency, and Expected Goals (xG 1.63 vs 0.96) further confirms the hosts' dominance. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches is identical in terms of points (1.4 PPG), but AEK Larnaca possesses significantly better quality at home, which should translate into a comfortable victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Larnaca | Akritas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 0.96 goals / match - Akritas
AEK Larnaca is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.71 goals / match - Akritas
AEK Larnaca scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Akritas keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Akritas scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
Over / Under - Akritas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.13 pts / match - Akritas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Akritas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEK Larnaca | Liga | Akritas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 39% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AEK Larnaca 0 - 1 - 0 Akritas. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
The First Division match finished AEK Larnaca 3:0 Akritas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
AEK Larnaca score 1.83 goals per game on average and Akritas 0.96. The First Division average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 58% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 38% of Akritas's.
What form are AEK Larnaca and Akritas in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Akritas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.