AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis: match statistics
AEK Larnaca displays significantly better form and statistics in home matches, sitting 3rd in the table with an impressive record of 9 wins this season. The hosts have averaged 2.2 PPG in their last 5 matches without suffering a defeat, confirmed by a WDDWW streak. Anorthosis struggles severely on the road, with only a 29% away win rate, failing to score in 43% of matches, and holding a negative goal difference of -5. The hosts dominate in possession (59% vs 50%), shot conversion (13% vs 9%), and average xG (1.62 vs 1.22), indicating their offensive superiority. Additionally, AEK Larnaca scores an average of 1.71 goals per home game, while Anorthosis concedes 1.57 goals on the road, making the hosts the clear favorite for this encounter.
AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEK Larnaca played Anorthosis in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
AEK Larnaca: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Anorthosis: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEK Larnaca scores 1.80 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Anorthosis scores 0.80 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEK Larnaca 60%, Anorthosis 53%. Over 2.5: AEK Larnaca 40%, Anorthosis 33%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Larnaca has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.22. AEK Larnaca: 12.7 shots per match, Anorthosis: 9.2.
Match halves
AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.80. Anorthosis: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
AEK Larnaca: 0-15 (6 goals). Anorthosis: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Larnaca displays significantly better form and statistics in home matches, sitting 3rd in the table with an impressive record of 9 wins this season. The hosts have averaged 2.2 PPG in their last 5 matches without suffering a defeat, confirmed by a WDDWW streak. Anorthosis struggles severely on the road, with only a 29% away win rate, failing to score in 43% of matches, and holding a negative goal difference of -5. The hosts dominate in possession (59% vs 50%), shot conversion (13% vs 9%), and average xG (1.62 vs 1.22), indicating their offensive superiority. Additionally, AEK Larnaca scores an average of 1.71 goals per home game, while Anorthosis concedes 1.57 goals on the road, making the hosts the clear favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Larnaca | Anorthosis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Larnaca is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.2 pts / match - Anorthosis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 0.8 goals / match - Anorthosis
AEK Larnaca is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.47 goals / match - Anorthosis
AEK Larnaca scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Anorthosis keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Anorthosis scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
Over / Under - Anorthosis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 156% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.87 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 0.73 pts / match - Anorthosis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Anorthosis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEK Larnaca
Anorthosis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEK Larnaca | Liga | Anorthosis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 38% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 35% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AEK Larnaca 0 - 1 - 0 Anorthosis. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis?
The First Division match finished AEK Larnaca 4:0 Anorthosis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis?
AEK Larnaca score 1.80 goals per game on average and Anorthosis 0.80. The First Division average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 60% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 53% of Anorthosis's.
What form are AEK Larnaca and Anorthosis in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Anorthosis 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis?
The statistical background for AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.