AEK Larnaca vs Apollon: match statistics
AEK Larnaca displays impressive home form with a 70% win rate at home and an average of 2.3 goals scored per match. The hosts have an advantage in xG (1.64 vs 1.46) and a higher average ball possession in home matches (59%). Apollon is in excellent form with five consecutive victories, but their away statistics are considerably more modest – averaging 1.2 goals per match and only a 60% win rate. AEK Larnaca's goal difference in home matches is +13, which demonstrates the team's solidity at their own stadium. Although Apollon has a 60% clean sheet rate away from home, their lower shooting efficiency (10% shot conversion) could be problematic against hosts who average over two goals per match. Taking all factors into account, AEK Larnaca holds the advantage, although Apollon's good form means a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEK Larnaca played Apollon in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
AEK Larnaca: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Apollon: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEK Larnaca scores 2.00 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Apollon scores 1.43 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEK Larnaca 57%, Apollon 33%. Over 2.5: AEK Larnaca 52%, Apollon 48%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Apollon has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.49. AEK Larnaca: 11.8 shots per match, Apollon: 12.8.
Match halves
AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.90. Apollon: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
AEK Larnaca: 76-90+ (9 goals). Apollon: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Larnaca displays impressive home form with a 70% win rate at home and an average of 2.3 goals scored per match. The hosts have an advantage in xG (1.64 vs 1.46) and a higher average ball possession in home matches (59%). Apollon is in excellent form with five consecutive victories, but their away statistics are considerably more modest – averaging 1.2 goals per match and only a 60% win rate. AEK Larnaca's goal difference in home matches is +13, which demonstrates the team's solidity at their own stadium. Although Apollon has a 60% clean sheet rate away from home, their lower shooting efficiency (10% shot conversion) could be problematic against hosts who average over two goals per match. Taking all factors into account, AEK Larnaca holds the advantage, although Apollon's good form means a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Larnaca | Apollon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Apollon is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 3 pts / match - Apollon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.43 goals / match - Apollon
AEK Larnaca is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 0.9 goals / match - Apollon
AEK Larnaca scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Apollon keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
Apollon scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
Over / Under - Apollon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.43 pts / match - Apollon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Apollon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEK Larnaca
Apollon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEK Larnaca | Liga | Apollon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.56 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 34% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AEK Larnaca 1 - 0 - 0 Apollon. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Apollon?
The First Division match finished AEK Larnaca 0:1 Apollon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs Apollon?
AEK Larnaca score 2.00 goals per game on average and Apollon 1.43. The First Division average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 57% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 33% of Apollon's.
What form are AEK Larnaca and Apollon in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Apollon 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs Apollon?
The statistical background for AEK Larnaca vs Apollon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.