Cyprus - First DivisionAEK Arena - George KarapatakisData current as of 02 November 2026

AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa: match statistics

Reasoning:

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AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AEK Larnaca play Karmiotissa in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 6 November 2026. Venue: AEK Arena - George Karapatakis.

Current form

AEK Larnaca: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Karmiotissa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

AEK Larnaca scores 1.88 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Karmiotissa scores 0.63 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AEK Larnaca 63%, Karmiotissa 38%. Over 2.5: AEK Larnaca 50%, Karmiotissa 63%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

AEK Larnaca has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.15. AEK Larnaca: 12.4 shots per match, Karmiotissa: 8.5.

Match halves

AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25. Karmiotissa: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

AEK Larnaca: 76-90+ (5 goals). Karmiotissa: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First Division: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.20)
(6.40)
(13.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
1.88Goals scored / match0.63
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
0.88Goals conceded / match2
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
56%Average possession41%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
5.5Shots on target / match4.13
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.38Shots per match8.5
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
5.5Shots on target4.13
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
15.2%Shot conversion7.4%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
56%Possession41%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
1.61xG for1.15
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
1.56xG against1.92
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa

Shooting quality

AEK Larnaca: Efficient finishingKarmiotissa: Balanced
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
Accuracy (shots on target)44%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.15

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AEK Larnaca is 175% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 0.8 pts / match - Karmiotissa

AEK Larnaca
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
63% W25% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-1
2.13 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Karmiotissa
DLLLW
Season result split
13% W38% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-4
0.75 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
DDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 2.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AEK Larnaca is 198% better for: goals scored per match.

1.88 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 0.63 goals / match - Karmiotissa

AEK Larnaca is 127% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.88 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 2 goals / match - Karmiotissa

AEK Larnaca scoring profile: very strong

AEK Larnaca scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Karmiotissa keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

Karmiotissa scoring profile: strong

Karmiotissa scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

15Goals scored (season)5
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
7Goals conceded (season)16
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
2.75Average goals in match2.63
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
8Goals scored (last 5)2
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
4Goals conceded (last 5)10
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal50%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
63%2 goals13%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
25%3 goals0%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
13%4 goals0%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
13%2 goals63%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
0%3 goals38%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
0%4 goals13%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time13%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
38%Scored in both halves0%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS38%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
60%BTTS - last 520%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Karmiotissa is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.38 pts / match - Karmiotissa

AEK Larnaca - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Karmiotissa - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)1.38
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.63
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.25
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
63%Clean sheet before half-time63%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
63%No goal before half-time50%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa

After half-time (2nd half)

2.38Points per match (2nd half)0.38
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
1.25Goals scored (2nd half)0
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)1.38
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.38
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
63%Clean sheet after half-time38%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
13%No goal after half-time100%
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa

AEK Larnaca - second-half results

75% W13% D13% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding252%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Karmiotissa - second-half results

0% W38% D63% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding34%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AEK Larnaca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.603.00
Goals scored / match0.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-3+7
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Karmiotissa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-2-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AEK Larnaca
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Karmiotissa
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
5
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AEK Larnaca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Karmiotissa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

AEK LarnacaLigaKarmiotissa
Average goals in match▼ 2.752.88▼ 2.63
Both teams scored▲ 63%57%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%61%▲ 63%
Clean sheets▼ 25%27%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%71%▲ 75%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%80%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do AEK Larnaca and Karmiotissa play?

AEK Larnaca face Karmiotissa on 6 November 2026 in First Division at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?

AEK Larnaca score 1.88 goals per game on average and Karmiotissa 0.63. The First Division average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 63% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 38% of Karmiotissa's.

What form are AEK Larnaca and Karmiotissa in?

Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Karmiotissa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.