Cyprus - First DivisionData current as of 22 October 2026

AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia: match statistics

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AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AEK Larnaca play Omonia Nicosia in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 26 October 2026.

Current form

AEK Larnaca: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Omonia Nicosia: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

AEK Larnaca scores 1.83 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Omonia Nicosia scores 2.17 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AEK Larnaca 67%, Omonia Nicosia 50%. Over 2.5: AEK Larnaca 50%, Omonia Nicosia 67%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Omonia Nicosia has higher xG: 2.32 vs 1.66. AEK Larnaca: 13.2 shots per match, Omonia Nicosia: 17.8.

Match halves

AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Omonia Nicosia: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.67.

Goals by minute

AEK Larnaca: 76-90+ (4 goals). Omonia Nicosia: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First Division: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.56)
(3.28)
(2.56)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
1.83Goals scored / match2.17
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
0.83Goals conceded / match0.67
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
55%Average possession64%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
5.67Shots on target / match8
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.17Shots per match17.83
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
5.67Shots on target8
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
13.9%Shot conversion12.1%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
55%Possession64%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
1.66xG for2.32
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
1.59xG against0.87
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

Shooting quality

AEK Larnaca: Efficient finishingOmonia Nicosia: Dominant
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
Accuracy (shots on target)43%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Omonia Nicosia is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 2.2 pts / match - Omonia Nicosia

AEK Larnaca
WLWWD
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
WLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Omonia Nicosia
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 away
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Omonia Nicosia is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 2.17 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia

Omonia Nicosia is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.83 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 0.67 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia

AEK Larnaca scoring profile: strong

AEK Larnaca scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Omonia Nicosia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

Omonia Nicosia scoring profile: very strong

Omonia Nicosia scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

11Goals scored (season)13
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
5Goals conceded (season)4
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
2.67Average goals in match2.83
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
8Goals scored (last 5)13
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
50%2 goals67%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
33%3 goals50%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
17%4 goals33%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal50%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
0%2 goals17%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
0%3 goals0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
0%4 goals0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time33%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
50%Scored in both halves50%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
60%BTTS - last 560%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AEK Larnaca is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.17 pts / match - Omonia Nicosia

AEK Larnaca - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing
Omonia Nicosia - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.17
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.5
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
1.17Average goals (1st half)1
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
50%No goal before half-time50%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per match (2nd half)2.33
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.67
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.17
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.83
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
50%Clean sheet after half-time83%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia
17%No goal after half-time33%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia

AEK Larnaca - second-half results

67% W17% D17% L
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Omonia Nicosia - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding294%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AEK Larnaca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Omonia Nicosia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.60
Goals scored / match0.62.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+9
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AEK Larnaca
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Omonia Nicosia
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
3
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
5
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AEK Larnaca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.93
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.76
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Omonia Nicosia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
45%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.2
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

AEK LarnacaLigaOmonia Nicosia
Average goals in match▼ 2.672.93▼ 2.83
Both teams scored▲ 67%60%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%64%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 17%26%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%71%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%83%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.45
Away goals / match
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): AEK Larnaca 0 - 2 - 2 Omonia Nicosia. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do AEK Larnaca and Omonia Nicosia play?

AEK Larnaca face Omonia Nicosia on 26 October 2026 in First Division. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between AEK Larnaca and Omonia Nicosia?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches AEK Larnaca won 0, Omonia Nicosia won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?

AEK Larnaca score 1.83 goals per game on average and Omonia Nicosia 2.17. The First Division average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 67% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 50% of Omonia Nicosia's.

What form are AEK Larnaca and Omonia Nicosia in?

Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Omonia Nicosia 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.