AEL vs APOEL: match statistics
APOEL demonstrates a clear advantage in key offensive statistics, averaging 1.91 goals per away match with an xG of 1.58, which significantly exceeds AEL's capabilities (1.45 goals and xG 1.19 at home). The visitors also possess a better goal difference on the road (+9) compared to the hosts' record at home (+4), with an identical average of conceded goals (1.09). APOEL fails to score less frequently away (9% FTS%) than AEL does at home (36% FTS%), indicating greater efficiency. The form over the last five matches favors the visitors (1.2 PPG compared to 1.8 PPG for the hosts), yet APOEL holds a higher win percentage away (45%) than AEL does at home (45%), with better scoring efficiency and a higher number of clean sheets (36% versus 27%). Taking all data into account, I predict a victory for APOEL, although AEL's solid home form in recent matches gives the hosts a real chance for a positive result.
AEL vs APOEL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEL played APOEL in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
AEL: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. APOEL: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEL scores 1.17 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. APOEL scores 1.74 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEL 30%, APOEL 52%. Over 2.5: AEL 48%, APOEL 52%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
APOEL has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.09. AEL: 7.9 shots per match, APOEL: 14.0.
Match halves
AEL: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. APOEL: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.22.
Goals by minute
AEL: 76-90+ (7 goals). APOEL: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
APOEL demonstrates a clear advantage in key offensive statistics, averaging 1.91 goals per away match with an xG of 1.58, which significantly exceeds AEL's capabilities (1.45 goals and xG 1.19 at home). The visitors also possess a better goal difference on the road (+9) compared to the hosts' record at home (+4), with an identical average of conceded goals (1.09). APOEL fails to score less frequently away (9% FTS%) than AEL does at home (36% FTS%), indicating greater efficiency. The form over the last five matches favors the visitors (1.2 PPG compared to 1.8 PPG for the hosts), yet APOEL holds a higher win percentage away (45%) than AEL does at home (45%), with better scoring efficiency and a higher number of clean sheets (36% versus 27%). Taking all data into account, I predict a victory for APOEL, although AEL's solid home form in recent matches gives the hosts a real chance for a positive result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEL | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
APOEL is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - AEL · 1.74 goals / match - APOEL
APOEL is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - AEL · 0.96 goals / match - APOEL
AEL scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while APOEL keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
APOEL scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEL
Over / Under - APOEL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
APOEL is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - AEL · 1.43 pts / match - APOEL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
APOEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEL
APOEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEL | Liga | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.52 | 2.50 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 34% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AEL 1 - 0 - 0 APOEL. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEL vs APOEL?
The First Division match finished AEL 2:3 APOEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs APOEL?
AEL score 1.17 goals per game on average and APOEL 1.74. The First Division average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 30% of AEL's matches and 52% of APOEL's.
What form are AEL and APOEL in?
Over the last 5 games AEL have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and APOEL 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs APOEL?
The statistical background for AEL vs APOEL — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.