AEL vs Aris: match statistics
Aris is displaying significantly better form and statistics this season, occupying 4th place in the table with 11 wins compared to just 8 for AEL (7th place). The visitors stand out with a far superior overall goal difference (38:17 vs 23:26) and an impressive clean sheet rate away from home (56%). Aris dominates in key offensive metrics - a higher average xG (1.43 vs 1.23) and greater shooting efficiency in away matches. While AEL does have a decent home form (44% win rate), the last 5 overall matches show instability from both sides, with Aris holding a better goal difference in that period (7:6 vs 5:4). Considering the visitors' higher quality of play, their solid away defense, and the advantage in head-to-head stats, I am tipping an Aris victory, though the hosts may put up some resistance on home soil.
AEL vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEL played Aris in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
AEL: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Aris: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEL scores 1.21 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Aris scores 2.00 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEL 32%, Aris 37%. Over 2.5: AEL 47%, Aris 58%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Aris has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.08. AEL: 8.0 shots per match, Aris: 13.0.
Match halves
AEL: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Aris: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
AEL: 76-90+ (6 goals). Aris: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aris is displaying significantly better form and statistics this season, occupying 4th place in the table with 11 wins compared to just 8 for AEL (7th place). The visitors stand out with a far superior overall goal difference (38:17 vs 23:26) and an impressive clean sheet rate away from home (56%). Aris dominates in key offensive metrics - a higher average xG (1.43 vs 1.23) and greater shooting efficiency in away matches. While AEL does have a decent home form (44% win rate), the last 5 overall matches show instability from both sides, with Aris holding a better goal difference in that period (7:6 vs 5:4). Considering the visitors' higher quality of play, their solid away defense, and the advantage in head-to-head stats, I am tipping an Aris victory, though the hosts may put up some resistance on home soil.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEL | Aris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aris is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - AEL · 1.6 pts / match - Aris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aris is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - AEL · 2 goals / match - Aris
Aris is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - AEL · 0.89 goals / match - Aris
AEL scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 58% (11 of 19 matches).
Aris scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEL
Over / Under - Aris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aris is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - AEL · 1.79 pts / match - Aris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEL
Aris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEL | Liga | Aris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 37% | • 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AEL 0 - 0 - 1 Aris. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEL vs Aris?
The First Division match finished AEL 2:1 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs Aris?
AEL score 1.21 goals per game on average and Aris 2.00. The First Division average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 32% of AEL's matches and 37% of Aris's.
What form are AEL and Aris in?
Over the last 5 games AEL have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Aris 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs Aris?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.