AEL vs Enosis: match statistics
AEL vs Enosis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEL played Enosis in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
AEL: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Enosis: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEL scores 1.25 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Enosis scores 0.29 and concedes 2.54. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEL 39%, Enosis 21%. Over 2.5: AEL 54%, Enosis 54%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
AEL has higher xG: 1.16 vs 0.72. AEL: 8.6 shots per match, Enosis: 5.3.
Match halves
AEL: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.79. Enosis: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.11.
Goals by minute
AEL: 76-90+ (11 goals). Enosis: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win for AEL; at home they average 1.43 goals per game, while Enosis average only 0.36 goals per away match. Defensively AEL also performs better: the hosts concede 1.29 goals per game at home versus Enosis conceding 3.07 on the road, with Enosis shipping 71 goals this season compared to 39 for AEL. Quality of chances favors AEL — AEL’s average xG at home is 1.30 versus 0.72 xG for Enosis away, and the hosts average 10.14 shots (3.5 on target) per game compared to 5.14 (2.07 on target) for the visitors. Efficiency is also with AEL: home conversion 14% versus 7% for Enosis, and the visitors have 71% of away matches without scoring, which severely limits their prospects. In the last 5 matches AEL have scored 7 and conceded 7 (1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded on average), while Enosis in their last 5 have scored 3 and conceded 15 (0.6 scored and 3.0 conceded), therefore I assess the probability of a home win at 82%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 6%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rate is only 14% for AEL and 29% for Enosis versus 41% in the league, indicating both teams rarely scored in the same match this season. Average goals scored are very low: 0.21 (AEL) and 0.36 (Enosis), with a simultaneous defensive issue — AEL concedes 2.0 goals per match on average and Enosis 3.07, which more often produces one-sided results than goal exchanges. In the last 5 matches AEL had BTTS in 80% and scored on average 1.4 goals, while Enosis had BTTS in 40% and scored only 0.6 goals, so only the home side actively contributes to goals on the board. A strong signal against BTTS is the fact that 64% of Enosis matches are over 2.5 with no both-teams-to-score (over25_and_no_btts_percentage_away = 64%) and the league has a high clean sheet rate of 64%, therefore I assign 25% to BTTS and 75% to no BTTS and recommend the 'No' selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG from the last 5 matches: AEL has xG_for 1.37, and Enosis xG_against 2.05, yielding 1.71 expected goals for the home side; similarly Enosis xG_for 0.69 versus AEL xG_against 1.56 yields 1.12 for the away side, total 2.83. With lambda = 2.83 the Poisson distribution gives about a 77% probability for Over 1.5 goals, about 54% for Over 2.5 and about 31% for Over 3.5. Additionally Enosis concedes on average 3.0 goals in the last 5 matches (15 conceded) and 3.07 over the season, while AEL scored 7 goals in the last 5 (1.4 per match), which increases the likelihood of a match with at least two goals. Seasonal indicators support this direction: Over 1.5 occurs 71% of the time for AEL and 93% for Enosis, and Over 2.5 in the last 5 matches is 80% (AEL) and 100% (Enosis). Therefore the best and strongest signal from the data is to back the over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 as the most likely scenario: in their last 5 matches AEL averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Enosis averaged 0.6 scored and 3.0 conceded, giving the home side a 0.8 advantage in attack and 1.6 in defense. At half-time AEL led in 40% of their last 5 games versus 20% for Enosis, and the home side’s average goals by the break in those matches is 0.6 vs 0.4 for the visitors, increasing the probability of AEL taking a lead at the break. Despite low seasonal shot averages (AEL 0.21 and Enosis 0.36 goals per match) both teams have xG for of 0.72, while xG against is 1.7 for AEL and 2.1 for Enosis, which suggests a higher risk of concessions from the visitors. Additionally, 80% of the last 5 matches for both teams featured at least one goal after the break, and AEL have 60% clean second halves in those five games, so the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of the hosts leading at the break and securing the win appears strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEL | Enosis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEL is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - AEL · 0.6 pts / match - Enosis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEL is 331% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - AEL · 0.29 goals / match - Enosis
AEL is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - AEL · 2.54 goals / match - Enosis
AEL scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Enosis keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 28 matches).
Enosis scores in 21% of matches (6 of 28 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEL
Over / Under - Enosis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEL is 157% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - AEL · 0.46 pts / match - Enosis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Enosis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 4%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -9 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEL
Enosis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEL | Liga | Enosis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.64 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 41% | ▼ 21% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 48% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 32% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AEL 2 - 0 - 0 Enosis. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEL vs Enosis?
The First Division match finished AEL 2:1 Enosis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AEL and Enosis?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AEL won 2, Enosis won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs Enosis?
AEL score 1.25 goals per game on average and Enosis 0.29. The First Division average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 39% of AEL's matches and 21% of Enosis's.
What form are AEL and Enosis in?
Over the last 5 games AEL have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Enosis 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs Enosis?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.