AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou: match statistics
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEL played Omonia 29is Maiou in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Alphamega Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
AEL: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match. Omonia 29is Maiou: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEL scores 1.50 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Omonia 29is Maiou scores 2.25 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEL 25%, Omonia 29is Maiou 75%. Over 2.5: AEL 50%, Omonia 29is Maiou 100%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
AEL has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.21. AEL: 10.3 shots per match, Omonia 29is Maiou: 9.5.
Match halves
AEL: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Omonia 29is Maiou: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
AEL: 46-60 (3 goals). Omonia 29is Maiou: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEL have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Omonia 29is Maiou have managed just 1 win and recorded 3 draws over the same period. At home, AEL have won both matches played so far, averaging 2 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. The visitors do average 3 goals away from home, but that return is built on a 35% shot conversion rate despite taking just 3.5 shots on target per match. The quality of chances created favors the hosts: AEL’s home xG stands at 1.58, compared with Omonia’s away xG of 1.04, while their opponents concede chances worth 1.61 xG. Despite the visitors’ attacking potential, AEL’s stronger recent results and more solid home defense make a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 100% of AEL’s home matches and 50% of Omonia 29is Maiou’s away matches, with neither team failing to score in these fixtures. In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 40% of AEL’s games and 80% of Omonia’s, providing further support for BTTS - Yes. The hosts averaged 1.5 goals scored at home, while the visitors averaged 3.0 away; they also conceded 2.0 and 1.5 goals per game, respectively. Caution is warranted, as Omonia kept a clean sheet in 50% of its away matches, and its average away xG is 1.04 despite averaging 3.0 goals scored. Nevertheless, the stronger evidence of both sides finding the net makes BTTS - Yes more likely than a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have gone over the 1.5-goal line in all matches played so far, making this the strongest signal in favor of the bet. Across their last five matches, AEL averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Omonia averaged 2.4 scored and 2.0 conceded, so both teams’ results point to goals. Caution is warranted with higher lines, given the average xG figures: 1.38 for AEL and 1.04 for Omonia, both clearly below the visitors’ average goals scored. With a total-goals forecast of 3.0, Over 1.5 offers more value than Over 2.5 or 3.5, although recent results also suggest the potential for a higher-scoring game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is a realistic starting point: AEL were level at the break in 2 of their last 5 matches, while Omonia were level in 3 of 5. AEL’s recent form supports a home win after the break: they won 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 of 5 for the visitors. AEL also won the second half in 3 of those 5 matches, while Omonia did so in 2 of 5. The hosts average 1.38 xG compared with the visitors’ 1.04, and register 6 shots on target per match against 3.5, strengthening the case for a late turnaround in their favour. There is still significant risk attached to the X/1 pick, as AEL failed to win either of their two home matches and Omonia averaged 3 goals away from home; however, such small samples are not conclusive.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEL | Omonia 29is Maiou | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 54% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEL is 80% better for: last-5 form.
2.25 pts / match - AEL · 1.25 pts / match - Omonia 29is Maiou
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Omonia 29is Maiou is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - AEL · 2.25 goals / match - Omonia 29is Maiou
AEL scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Omonia 29is Maiou keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Omonia 29is Maiou scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEL
Over / Under - Omonia 29is Maiou
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEL is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - AEL · 1.25 pts / match - Omonia 29is Maiou
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Omonia 29is Maiou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEL
Omonia 29is Maiou
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEL | Liga | Omonia 29is Maiou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 3.06 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou?
The First Division match finished AEL 2:1 Omonia 29is Maiou. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou?
AEL score 1.50 goals per game on average and Omonia 29is Maiou 2.25. The First Division average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 25% of AEL's matches and 75% of Omonia 29is Maiou's.
What form are AEL and Omonia 29is Maiou in?
Over the last 5 games AEL have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Omonia 29is Maiou 1-2-1 (1.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.