AEL vs Omonia Aradippou: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams. AEL has shown poor form in their last five matches (a mere 0.6 points per game), despite a decent home goal difference (+3). Omonia Aradippou, on the other hand, is in visibly better shape, securing 2 points per game over their last five fixtures. The visitors are characterized by solid away defending (42% clean sheets, 1 goal conceded on average), although their offense leaves much to be desired (0.58 goals per game). AEL holds the home advantage and a better scoring record in home games (1.5 goals per game); however, a dismal streak of four consecutive defeats raises serious doubts. Considering the contrasting form and the statistical balance between both teams' strengths, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome.
AEL vs Omonia Aradippou: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEL played Omonia Aradippou in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
AEL: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Omonia Aradippou: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEL scores 1.20 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Omonia Aradippou scores 0.84 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEL 36%, Omonia Aradippou 28%. Over 2.5: AEL 52%, Omonia Aradippou 28%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Omonia Aradippou has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.10. AEL: 8.0 shots per match, Omonia Aradippou: 11.2.
Match halves
AEL: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.72. Omonia Aradippou: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
AEL: 76-90+ (8 goals). Omonia Aradippou: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams. AEL has shown poor form in their last five matches (a mere 0.6 points per game), despite a decent home goal difference (+3). Omonia Aradippou, on the other hand, is in visibly better shape, securing 2 points per game over their last five fixtures. The visitors are characterized by solid away defending (42% clean sheets, 1 goal conceded on average), although their offense leaves much to be desired (0.58 goals per game). AEL holds the home advantage and a better scoring record in home games (1.5 goals per game); however, a dismal streak of four consecutive defeats raises serious doubts. Considering the contrasting form and the statistical balance between both teams' strengths, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEL | Omonia Aradippou | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Omonia Aradippou is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - AEL · 2 pts / match - Omonia Aradippou
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEL is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - AEL · 0.84 goals / match - Omonia Aradippou
Omonia Aradippou is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - AEL · 1.2 goals / match - Omonia Aradippou
AEL scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Omonia Aradippou keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Omonia Aradippou scores in 52% of matches (13 of 25 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEL
Over / Under - Omonia Aradippou
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEL is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - AEL · 0.88 pts / match - Omonia Aradippou
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Omonia Aradippou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEL | Liga | Omonia Aradippou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.64 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 39% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 33% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AEL 1 - 0 - 0 Omonia Aradippou. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEL vs Omonia Aradippou?
The First Division match finished AEL 1:2 Omonia Aradippou. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs Omonia Aradippou?
AEL score 1.20 goals per game on average and Omonia Aradippou 0.84. The First Division average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 36% of AEL's matches and 28% of Omonia Aradippou's.
What form are AEL and Omonia Aradippou in?
Over the last 5 games AEL have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Omonia Aradippou 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs Omonia Aradippou?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.