AEL vs Omonia Nicosia: match statistics
Omonia Nicosia is the clear favorite in this clash, sitting at the top of the table with an impressive record of 11 wins this season. The visitors display significantly better offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per away match while conceding just 0.75, translating to a +12 goal difference. xG statistics also favor Omonia (1.86 xG For vs 1.12 xG Against), while AEL has balanced metrics (1.18 xG For vs 1.01 xG Against). The hosts win only 50% of their home matches and have a negative goal difference in their last five games, which, combined with Omonia's 63% away win rate and excellent form (2 points per game in the last 5 matches), makes an away win the most likely scenario. Additionally, Omonia keeps a clean sheet in half of their away matches, giving them a solid defensive advantage given AEL's average of just 1.75 goals scored at home.
AEL vs Omonia Nicosia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEL played Omonia Nicosia in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 9 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
AEL: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Omonia Nicosia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEL scores 1.25 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Omonia Nicosia scores 2.38 and concedes 0.63. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEL 31%, Omonia Nicosia 38%. Over 2.5: AEL 50%, Omonia Nicosia 69%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Omonia Nicosia has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.05. AEL: 7.8 shots per match, Omonia Nicosia: 14.7.
Match halves
AEL: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.81. Omonia Nicosia: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.44.
Goals by minute
AEL: 76-90+ (6 goals). Omonia Nicosia: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Omonia Nicosia is the clear favorite in this clash, sitting at the top of the table with an impressive record of 11 wins this season. The visitors display significantly better offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per away match while conceding just 0.75, translating to a +12 goal difference. xG statistics also favor Omonia (1.86 xG For vs 1.12 xG Against), while AEL has balanced metrics (1.18 xG For vs 1.01 xG Against). The hosts win only 50% of their home matches and have a negative goal difference in their last five games, which, combined with Omonia's 63% away win rate and excellent form (2 points per game in the last 5 matches), makes an away win the most likely scenario. Additionally, Omonia keeps a clean sheet in half of their away matches, giving them a solid defensive advantage given AEL's average of just 1.75 goals scored at home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEL | Omonia Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Omonia Nicosia is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - AEL · 2.6 pts / match - Omonia Nicosia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Omonia Nicosia is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - AEL · 2.38 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia is 119% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - AEL · 0.63 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia
AEL scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Omonia Nicosia keeps a clean sheet in 56% (9 of 16 matches).
Omonia Nicosia scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEL
Over / Under - Omonia Nicosia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Omonia Nicosia is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - AEL · 1.88 pts / match - Omonia Nicosia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Omonia Nicosia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEL
Omonia Nicosia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEL | Liga | Omonia Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.55 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 38% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 35% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AEL 0 - 0 - 1 Omonia Nicosia. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEL vs Omonia Nicosia?
The First Division match finished AEL 0:2 Omonia Nicosia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs Omonia Nicosia?
AEL score 1.25 goals per game on average and Omonia Nicosia 2.38. The First Division average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 31% of AEL's matches and 38% of Omonia Nicosia's.
What form are AEL and Omonia Nicosia in?
Over the last 5 games AEL have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Omonia Nicosia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs Omonia Nicosia?
The statistical background for AEL vs Omonia Nicosia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.