AEP Polemidion vs Ermis: match statistics
AEP Polemidion vs Ermis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEP Polemidion played Ermis in Second Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
AEP Polemidion: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Ermis: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEP Polemidion scores 0.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Ermis scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEP Polemidion 0%, Ermis 50%. Over 2.5: AEP Polemidion 50%, Ermis 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Ermis has higher xG: 1.42 vs 0.78. AEP Polemidion: 2.0 shots per match, Ermis: 9.0.
Match halves
AEP Polemidion: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Ermis: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
AEP Polemidion: 76-90+ (1 goals). Ermis: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEP Polemidion have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals, while Ermis have recorded 2 wins and scored 5. The hosts are therefore creating slightly more threat, although their defence has conceded 7 goals over this period, compared with 4 by the visitors. AEP are also backed by the only listed home fixture, which ended in a 1:0 win. However, the hosts’ advantage is not substantial: Ermis sit 8th in the table, with AEP 10th, and the data on scoring chances do not allow for a reliable comparison of their quality. Given these limitations, recent scoring form and home advantage support a cautious pick on AEP Polemidion.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams recorded BTTS in 40% of their last 5 matches, giving a slight edge to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score. Ermis averaged 1.0 goals per match over this period, with an xG of 0.92, so an away goal is far from certain despite AEP Polemidion conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. On the other hand, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals, while Ermis conceded just 0.8 goals per match and allowed opponents an xG of 0.57. Ermis's away figures of 0.0 goals and 0.0 xG are inconsistent with its record over the last 5 matches, so I do not consider them a decisive factor. With both teams at 40% for BTTS in their last 5 matches and the visitors' defence having looked more solid recently, BTTS - No has a slight edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, AEP Polemidion averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Ermis averaged 1.0 scored and just 0.8 conceded. Although at least 3 goals were scored in 60% of AEP’s matches during this period, the figure for Ermis was only 20%, pointing against a high-scoring game. The hosts record an xG of 1.42 at home, while Ermis have limited their opponents to an average of 0.57 xG over their last 5 matches, so I do not expect AEP to score multiple goals with ease. The projected total of 2.30 goals is also below the league average of 2.69; therefore, Under 3.5 goals, with an 80% probability, is the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: Ermis were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while AEP Polemidion were level in 2 of 5; both teams averaged 0.4 goals before half-time over this period. The hosts failed to score in the first half in 4 of those 5 matches, making an early lead less likely than a later turnaround. After the break, AEP averaged 1.2 goals compared with Ermis’s 0.6, and won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors recorded 2 wins. This points towards an X/1 scenario, although the visitors have conceded only 0.8 goals per match recently, so the hosts do not have a decisive edge. Ermis’s zero figures in the away statistics are not sufficient grounds to assume that the team poses no threat.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEP Polemidion | Ermis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 72% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.39 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.00 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ermis is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - AEP Polemidion · 1.5 goals / match - Ermis
Ermis is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - AEP Polemidion · 1 goals / match - Ermis
AEP Polemidion scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Ermis keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Ermis scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while AEP Polemidion keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEP Polemidion
Over / Under - Ermis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ermis is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - AEP Polemidion · 2 pts / match - Ermis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEP Polemidion - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ermis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEP Polemidion
Ermis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| AEP Polemidion | Liga | Ermis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of AEP Polemidion vs Ermis?
The Second Division match finished AEP Polemidion 0:1 Ermis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEP Polemidion vs Ermis?
AEP Polemidion score 0.50 goals per game on average and Ermis 1.50. The Second Division average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 0% of AEP Polemidion's matches and 50% of Ermis's.
What form are AEP Polemidion and Ermis in?
Over the last 5 games AEP Polemidion have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Ermis 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEP Polemidion vs Ermis?
The statistical background for AEP Polemidion vs Ermis — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.