AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely even, suggesting a draw result. AF Elbasani presents solid home form with 50% wins and impressive 60% clean sheets, yet their last five overall matches yielded only 1.2 points per game, indicating a dip in form. Dinamo Tirana is in better disposition with 2.0 points per game in the last five matches and a higher win rate on the road (40%). A key factor is the very similar goal difference of both teams and almost identical xG statistics (1.46 vs 1.43 for the hosts and 1.1 vs 1.25 in defense), confirming the balanced nature of the meeting. Considering that the hosts have 40% draws at home and the visitors finish 60% of away matches without scoring, I expect a tight, tactical duel ending in a sharing of points.
AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AF Elbasani played Dinamo Tirana in Superliga (Albania). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
AF Elbasani: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Dinamo Tirana: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AF Elbasani scores 1.10 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Dinamo Tirana scores 1.35 and concedes 0.70. League average: 2.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AF Elbasani 45%, Dinamo Tirana 35%. Over 2.5: AF Elbasani 25%, Dinamo Tirana 35%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Tirana has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.33. AF Elbasani: 10.2 shots per match, Dinamo Tirana: 12.1.
Match halves
AF Elbasani: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65. Dinamo Tirana: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
AF Elbasani: 31-45+ (8 goals). Dinamo Tirana: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 2.07 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely even, suggesting a draw result. AF Elbasani presents solid home form with 50% wins and impressive 60% clean sheets, yet their last five overall matches yielded only 1.2 points per game, indicating a dip in form. Dinamo Tirana is in better disposition with 2.0 points per game in the last five matches and a higher win rate on the road (40%). A key factor is the very similar goal difference of both teams and almost identical xG statistics (1.46 vs 1.43 for the hosts and 1.1 vs 1.25 in defense), confirming the balanced nature of the meeting. Considering that the hosts have 40% draws at home and the visitors finish 60% of away matches without scoring, I expect a tight, tactical duel ending in a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AF Elbasani | Dinamo Tirana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dinamo Tirana is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - AF Elbasani · 1.4 pts / match - Dinamo Tirana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Tirana is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - AF Elbasani · 1.35 goals / match - Dinamo Tirana
AF Elbasani scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Dinamo Tirana keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
Dinamo Tirana scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while AF Elbasani keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AF Elbasani
Over / Under - Dinamo Tirana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AF Elbasani is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - AF Elbasani · 1.3 pts / match - Dinamo Tirana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AF Elbasani - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dinamo Tirana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AF Elbasani
Dinamo Tirana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| AF Elbasani | Liga | Dinamo Tirana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.80 | 2.07 | • 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AF Elbasani 1 - 1 - 0 Dinamo Tirana. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana?
The Superliga match finished AF Elbasani 2:0 Dinamo Tirana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AF Elbasani and Dinamo Tirana?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AF Elbasani won 1, Dinamo Tirana won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana?
AF Elbasani score 1.10 goals per game on average and Dinamo Tirana 1.35. The Superliga average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 45% of AF Elbasani's matches and 35% of Dinamo Tirana's.
What form are AF Elbasani and Dinamo Tirana in?
Over the last 5 games AF Elbasani have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Dinamo Tirana 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana?
The statistical background for AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.