AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër: match statistics
AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AF Elbasani played Vllaznia Shkodër in Superliga (Albania). The match was played on 27 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
AF Elbasani: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Vllaznia Shkodër: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
AF Elbasani scores 1.28 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Vllaznia Shkodër scores 1.22 and concedes 0.66. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AF Elbasani 53%, Vllaznia Shkodër 38%. Over 2.5: AF Elbasani 41%, Vllaznia Shkodër 25%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Vllaznia Shkodër has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.31. AF Elbasani: 10.1 shots per match, Vllaznia Shkodër: 13.1.
Match halves
AF Elbasani: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78. Vllaznia Shkodër: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
AF Elbasani: 76-90+ (12 goals). Vllaznia Shkodër: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AF Elbasani has a clear home advantage: 56% home wins, an average of 0.5 goals conceded per home match and 56% clean sheets, while Vllaznia have only 25% wins away and 44% draws. The hosts create more high-quality chances — average xG 1.44 with 4.38 shots on target per game, versus xG 1.38 and 3.69 shots on target for the visitors. Elbasani score on average 1.19 goals per home game with shot conversion around 11%, while Vllaznia average 0.81 goals away with conversion around 7% and 38% of matches without scoring. Both teams have similar form over the last five matches (avg. 1.6 points per game), but the hosts’ defensive edge (0.5 goals conceded vs 0.81 for the visitors) and a positive home goal difference (+11) favor an Elbasani win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The analysis indicates a higher probability of No BTTS: both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 38%, below the league average of 46%. Vllaznia score only 0.81 goals per away match and record 3.69 shots on target with a conversion rate around 7%, so their chances of scoring are limited. Elbasani at home generate 1.63 goals on average and xG 1.78 with 5.19 shots on target, but keep a clean sheet in 56% of home matches, which reduces the likelihood of a Goal/Goal outcome. In the last 5 matches there is a divergence: Elbasani have BTTS at 80% and concede 1.4 goals on average, whereas Vllaznia have only 20% BTTS and concede 0.4 goals on average, further favoring the scenario that at least one team will fail to score. Overall, considering Vllaznia’s poor away efficiency and the high clean sheet rate for the hosts, the 'BTTS - No' scenario appears stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for this match is approximately 2.76 (xG AF Elbasani 1.46 vs xG Vllaznia 1.30), which implies around 2.8 goals in the game. A probabilistic model with total xG=2.76 estimates the probability of Over 1.5 goals at ~76%, Over 2.5 goals at ~52% and Over 3.5 goals at ~30%. Additionally, the home side averages 5.19 shots on target with an 11% conversion, while the visitors have 3.69 shots on target and a 7% conversion; in the last 5 matches the home team scored 8 goals and the visitors 4. At the same time the home team has 56% clean sheets at home, and the seasonal over 2.5 rate is only 31% for the home team and 19% for the visitors, which limits value on lines of 2.5 and above. Based on this, the strongest and most reliable pick is Over 1.5 — the high combined xG of 2.76 and the home advantage in shots on target and conversion provide a clear edge at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
AF Elbasani led at the break in 12 of 16 matches (75%) and average 1.0 goals by half-time with 0.25 conceded, whereas Vllaznia led at the break in only 4 of 16 matches (25%) and average 0.31 goals by half-time. Over 90 minutes the hosts score 1.63 goals on average versus 0.81 for the visitors and have won 81% of matches compared to Vllaznia’s 25% wins, giving a clear home advantage for the Full-Time result. The xG differential (1.78 vs 1.38) and shots on target (5.19 vs 3.69) confirm Elbasani create more chances and have better efficiency (shot conversion 11% vs 7%). The hosts virtually never trailed at the break (0% of matches) and have 20 goals by half-time (1.25 per game), which facilitates maintaining a lead after the break. Therefore the strongest scenario is 1/1 (lead at the break and Full-Time home win), hence a high projection for this option; Draw/FT with a later home win or a Full-Time draw are less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AF Elbasani | Vllaznia Shkodër | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AF Elbasani is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - AF Elbasani · 1.8 pts / match - Vllaznia Shkodër
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AF Elbasani is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - AF Elbasani · 1.22 goals / match - Vllaznia Shkodër
Vllaznia Shkodër is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - AF Elbasani · 0.66 goals / match - Vllaznia Shkodër
AF Elbasani scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Vllaznia Shkodër keeps a clean sheet in 50% (16 of 32 matches).
Vllaznia Shkodër scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while AF Elbasani keeps a clean sheet in 44% (14 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AF Elbasani
Over / Under - Vllaznia Shkodër
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vllaznia Shkodër is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - AF Elbasani · 1.91 pts / match - Vllaznia Shkodër
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AF Elbasani - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vllaznia Shkodër - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AF Elbasani
Vllaznia Shkodër
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| AF Elbasani | Liga | Vllaznia Shkodër | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.13 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): AF Elbasani 1 - 0 - 2 Vllaznia Shkodër. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
The Superliga match finished AF Elbasani 3:1 Vllaznia Shkodër. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AF Elbasani and Vllaznia Shkodër?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches AF Elbasani won 1, Vllaznia Shkodër won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
AF Elbasani score 1.28 goals per game on average and Vllaznia Shkodër 1.22. The Superliga average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 53% of AF Elbasani's matches and 38% of Vllaznia Shkodër's.
What form are AF Elbasani and Vllaznia Shkodër in?
Over the last 5 games AF Elbasani have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Vllaznia Shkodër 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.