AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal: match statistics
As league leaders, Arsenal displays decidedly superior form, averaging 2.6 points per match over their last five outings, whereas Bournemouth has managed just 0.8. The Gunners have secured victory in 4 of their last 5 fixtures and hold an impressive record of 14 seasonal wins, making them the clear favourites. Bournemouth, winless in their last 5 games and languishing in 15th place, faces significantly reduced odds. While the hosts have been effective at home (44% win rate), Arsenal boasts a superior defence (12 goals conceded against Bournemouth's 35) and a comparable attack. Although xG statistics (1.6 vs 1.62) and possession (56% vs 57%) are level, the disparity in current form and league standing strongly favours an away win.
AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Bournemouth played Arsenal in Premier League (England). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
AFC Bournemouth: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Arsenal: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Bournemouth scores 1.53 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Arsenal scores 1.95 and concedes 0.63. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Bournemouth 63%, Arsenal 47%. Over 2.5: AFC Bournemouth 63%, Arsenal 47%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Arsenal has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.63. AFC Bournemouth: 13.8 shots per match, Arsenal: 15.4.
Match halves
AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.79. Arsenal: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.26.
Goals by minute
AFC Bournemouth: 76-90+ (8 goals). Arsenal: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As league leaders, Arsenal displays decidedly superior form, averaging 2.6 points per match over their last five outings, whereas Bournemouth has managed just 0.8. The Gunners have secured victory in 4 of their last 5 fixtures and hold an impressive record of 14 seasonal wins, making them the clear favourites. Bournemouth, winless in their last 5 games and languishing in 15th place, faces significantly reduced odds. While the hosts have been effective at home (44% win rate), Arsenal boasts a superior defence (12 goals conceded against Bournemouth's 35) and a comparable attack. Although xG statistics (1.6 vs 1.62) and possession (56% vs 57%) are level, the disparity in current form and league standing strongly favours an away win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Bournemouth | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arsenal is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth · 2.4 pts / match - Arsenal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arsenal is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.95 goals / match - Arsenal
Arsenal is 192% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.84 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 0.63 goals / match - Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 matches).
Arsenal scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AFC Bournemouth
Over / Under - Arsenal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arsenal is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.84 pts / match - Arsenal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arsenal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Bournemouth
Arsenal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| AFC Bournemouth | Liga | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.37 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
The Premier League match finished AFC Bournemouth 2:3 Arsenal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
AFC Bournemouth score 1.53 goals per game on average and Arsenal 1.95. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 63% of AFC Bournemouth's matches and 47% of Arsenal's.
What form are AFC Bournemouth and Arsenal in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Bournemouth have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Arsenal 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.