AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: match statistics
Aston Villa occupies third place in the table and displays solid away form with a 50% win rate on the road. Bournemouth, despite a good recent run (3 wins in the last 5 matches), sits only in 12th position and has a negative goal difference for the season (-3 overall). Villa possesses better defensive organization, conceding an average of 1.33 goals away, with their form in recent away matches (4 wins in the last 6) indicating stability. Bournemouth has a tendency to draw at home (33% of matches), but the quality and ambition of Aston Villa in the fight for a top-four finish should tip the scales of victory in their favor. xG statistics also favor the visitors, who, despite a slightly lower away xG (1.35), hold an advantage in experience and squad quality.
AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Bournemouth played Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
AFC Bournemouth: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Aston Villa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Bournemouth scores 1.67 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Aston Villa scores 1.46 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Bournemouth 67%, Aston Villa 50%. Over 2.5: AFC Bournemouth 63%, Aston Villa 54%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
AFC Bournemouth has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.48. AFC Bournemouth: 13.4 shots per match, Aston Villa: 12.7.
Match halves
AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.79. Aston Villa: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
AFC Bournemouth: 76-90+ (12 goals). Aston Villa: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aston Villa occupies third place in the table and displays solid away form with a 50% win rate on the road. Bournemouth, despite a good recent run (3 wins in the last 5 matches), sits only in 12th position and has a negative goal difference for the season (-3 overall). Villa possesses better defensive organization, conceding an average of 1.33 goals away, with their form in recent away matches (4 wins in the last 6) indicating stability. Bournemouth has a tendency to draw at home (33% of matches), but the quality and ambition of Aston Villa in the fight for a top-four finish should tip the scales of victory in their favor. xG statistics also favor the visitors, who, despite a slightly lower away xG (1.35), hold an advantage in experience and squad quality.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Bournemouth | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AFC Bournemouth is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.4 pts / match - Aston Villa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AFC Bournemouth is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.46 goals / match - Aston Villa
Aston Villa is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.08 goals / match - Aston Villa
AFC Bournemouth scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
Aston Villa scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AFC Bournemouth
Over / Under - Aston Villa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AFC Bournemouth is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.21 pts / match - Aston Villa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Bournemouth
Aston Villa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| AFC Bournemouth | Liga | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.46 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 54% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 - 1 Aston Villa. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
The Premier League match finished AFC Bournemouth 1:1 Aston Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
AFC Bournemouth score 1.67 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.46. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of AFC Bournemouth's matches and 50% of Aston Villa's.
What form are AFC Bournemouth and Aston Villa in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Bournemouth have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Aston Villa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.