AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool: match statistics
Liverpool presents decidedly better form in the last five matches, gaining 1.8 points per match compared to Bournemouth's 1.2 points. The visitors show a higher average possession (60% vs 54%) and better scoring efficiency in away matches. Bournemouth has a problematic defense at home, conceding an average of 1 goal per match with an xGA of 1.1, which Liverpool can exploit with an average of 1.55 goals away. The hosts' home form shows volatility (wwdwwdlddlw), while Liverpool has not lost in the last five matches (ddwdw). Although Bournemouth has a positive goal difference at home (+5), the class difference between the teams in 15th and 4th place in the table speaks for the visitors. I expect a difficult match for the hosts, in which Liverpool should reach for the three points.
AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Bournemouth played Liverpool in Premier League (England). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
AFC Bournemouth: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Liverpool: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Bournemouth scores 1.59 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Liverpool scores 1.50 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Bournemouth 68%, Liverpool 59%. Over 2.5: AFC Bournemouth 64%, Liverpool 59%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Liverpool has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.57. AFC Bournemouth: 13.6 shots per match, Liverpool: 15.5.
Match halves
AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.77. Liverpool: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
AFC Bournemouth: 76-90+ (10 goals). Liverpool: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Liverpool presents decidedly better form in the last five matches, gaining 1.8 points per match compared to Bournemouth's 1.2 points. The visitors show a higher average possession (60% vs 54%) and better scoring efficiency in away matches. Bournemouth has a problematic defense at home, conceding an average of 1 goal per match with an xGA of 1.1, which Liverpool can exploit with an average of 1.55 goals away. The hosts' home form shows volatility (wwdwwdlddlw), while Liverpool has not lost in the last five matches (ddwdw). Although Bournemouth has a positive goal difference at home (+5), the class difference between the teams in 15th and 4th place in the table speaks for the visitors. I expect a difficult match for the hosts, in which Liverpool should reach for the three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Bournemouth | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Liverpool is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.4 pts / match - Liverpool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AFC Bournemouth is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.5 goals / match - Liverpool
Liverpool is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.86 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.32 goals / match - Liverpool
AFC Bournemouth scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Liverpool keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Liverpool scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AFC Bournemouth
Over / Under - Liverpool
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AFC Bournemouth is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.32 pts / match - Liverpool
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Liverpool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Bournemouth
Liverpool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| AFC Bournemouth | Liga | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.45 | 2.75 | • 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 55% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 - 1 Liverpool. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
The Premier League match finished AFC Bournemouth 3:2 Liverpool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
AFC Bournemouth score 1.59 goals per game on average and Liverpool 1.50. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 68% of AFC Bournemouth's matches and 59% of Liverpool's.
What form are AFC Bournemouth and Liverpool in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Bournemouth have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Liverpool 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.