AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur: match statistics
This match promises to be extremely tight, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. AFC Bournemouth presents solid home form with a 40% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4); however, their last five overall matches (0.6 PPG) indicate a dip in form. Tottenham Hotspur boasts an impressive 50% away win rate and an identical goal difference (+4), yet their recent form (1 PPG in 5 matches) also raises concerns. A key factor is the hosts' advantage in possession (55% vs 48%) and superior xG in home matches (1.57 vs 1.05 xG for the visitors), which counterbalances Tottenham's better shot conversion rate (18% vs 9%). Given the current form of both squads and the balanced statistics, a draw appears the most logical conclusion, although a victory for either side remains a plausible scenario.
AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Bournemouth played Tottenham Hotspur in Premier League (England). The match was played on 7 January 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
AFC Bournemouth: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Tottenham Hotspur: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Bournemouth scores 1.55 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Tottenham Hotspur scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Bournemouth 65%, Tottenham Hotspur 50%. Over 2.5: AFC Bournemouth 65%, Tottenham Hotspur 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
AFC Bournemouth has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.20. AFC Bournemouth: 13.9 shots per match, Tottenham Hotspur: 9.9.
Match halves
AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. Tottenham Hotspur: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
AFC Bournemouth: 76-90+ (9 goals). Tottenham Hotspur: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This match promises to be extremely tight, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. AFC Bournemouth presents solid home form with a 40% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4); however, their last five overall matches (0.6 PPG) indicate a dip in form. Tottenham Hotspur boasts an impressive 50% away win rate and an identical goal difference (+4), yet their recent form (1 PPG in 5 matches) also raises concerns. A key factor is the hosts' advantage in possession (55% vs 48%) and superior xG in home matches (1.57 vs 1.05 xG for the visitors), which counterbalances Tottenham's better shot conversion rate (18% vs 9%). Given the current form of both squads and the balanced statistics, a draw appears the most logical conclusion, although a victory for either side remains a plausible scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Bournemouth | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tottenham Hotspur is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1 pts / match - Tottenham Hotspur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AFC Bournemouth is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.4 goals / match - Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.2 goals / match - Tottenham Hotspur
AFC Bournemouth scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Tottenham Hotspur keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Tottenham Hotspur scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AFC Bournemouth
Over / Under - Tottenham Hotspur
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tottenham Hotspur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Bournemouth
Tottenham Hotspur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| AFC Bournemouth | Liga | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.45 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 80% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 0 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The Premier League match finished AFC Bournemouth 3:2 Tottenham Hotspur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur?
AFC Bournemouth score 1.55 goals per game on average and Tottenham Hotspur 1.40. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 65% of AFC Bournemouth's matches and 50% of Tottenham Hotspur's.
What form are AFC Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Bournemouth have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Tottenham Hotspur 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The statistical background for AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.