England - National LeagueHornchurch StadiumData current as of 02 September 2026

AFC Hornchurch vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics

Reasoning:

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AFC Hornchurch vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AFC Hornchurch play Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Hornchurch Stadium.

Current form

AFC Hornchurch: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

AFC Hornchurch scores 2.00 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.20 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AFC Hornchurch 60%, Forest Green Rovers 60%. Over 2.5: AFC Hornchurch 80%, Forest Green Rovers 80%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.34. AFC Hornchurch: 9.6 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 13.8.

Match halves

AFC Hornchurch: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.20. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

AFC Hornchurch: 16-30 (2 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.20)
(2.30)
(2.25)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
2Goals scored / match1.2
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
1.4Goals conceded / match2
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
34%Average possession45%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
4.8Shots on target / match4.6
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.6Shots per match13.8
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
4.8Shots on target4.6
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
20.8%Shot conversion8.7%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
34%Possession45%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
1.34xG for1.74
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
1.68xG against1.39
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers

Shooting quality

AFC Hornchurch: Counter-attackingForest Green Rovers: Balanced
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
Accuracy (shots on target)50%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AFC Hornchurch is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - AFC Hornchurch · 1.2 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers

AFC Hornchurch
WWLWW
Season result split
80% W0% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Forest Green Rovers
WWLLL
Season result split
40% W0% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AFC Hornchurch is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - AFC Hornchurch · 1.2 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers

AFC Hornchurch is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - AFC Hornchurch · 2 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers

AFC Hornchurch scoring profile: very strong

AFC Hornchurch scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Forest Green Rovers scoring profile: mixed

Forest Green Rovers scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while AFC Hornchurch keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

10Goals scored (season)6
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
7Goals conceded (season)10
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
3.4Average goals in match3.2
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
10Goals scored (last 5)6
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
7Goals conceded (last 5)10
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal60%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
60%2 goals40%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
40%3 goals20%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
0%4 goals0%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal100%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
40%2 goals80%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
20%3 goals20%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
20%4 goals0%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
Forest Green Rovers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 5 matches
67%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
20%Scored in both halves0%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
60%BTTS - last 560%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AFC Hornchurch is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - AFC Hornchurch · 0.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers

AFC Hornchurch - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Forest Green Rovers - half-time state
0% leading40% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.4
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
1.4Average goals (1st half)0.8
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
60%Clean sheet before half-time40%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
60%No goal before half-time100%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1.2
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
2Average goals (2nd half)2.4
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
60%Clean sheet after half-time20%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers
20%No goal after half-time40%
AFC HornchurchForest Green Rovers

AFC Hornchurch - second-half results

60% W20% R20% P
5
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forest Green Rovers - second-half results

40% W0% R60% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.40
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AFC Hornchurch - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Forest Green Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AFC Hornchurch
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Forest Green Rovers
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
4
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AFC Hornchurch

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.94
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Forest Green Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.61
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

AFC HornchurchLigaForest Green Rovers
Average goals in match 3.403.10 3.20
Both teams scored 60%67% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 80%62% 80%
Clean sheets 40%17% 0%
Goal before half-time 60%72% 60%
Goal after half-time 80%88% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.47
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

FAQ

When do AFC Hornchurch and Forest Green Rovers play?

AFC Hornchurch face Forest Green Rovers on 5 September 2026 in National League at Hornchurch Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before AFC Hornchurch vs Forest Green Rovers?

AFC Hornchurch score 2.00 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.20. The National League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 60% of AFC Hornchurch's matches and 60% of Forest Green Rovers's.

What form are AFC Hornchurch and Forest Green Rovers in?

Over the last 5 games AFC Hornchurch have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Hornchurch vs Forest Green Rovers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.