England - National LeagueHornchurch StadiumData current as of 19 September 2026

AFC Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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AFC Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AFC Hornchurch play Scunthorpe United in National League (England). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Hornchurch Stadium.

Current form

AFC Hornchurch: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Scunthorpe United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

AFC Hornchurch scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Scunthorpe United scores 1.38 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AFC Hornchurch 38%, Scunthorpe United 63%. Over 2.5: AFC Hornchurch 63%, Scunthorpe United 50%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Scunthorpe United has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.35. AFC Hornchurch: 10.3 shots per match, Scunthorpe United: 10.8.

Match halves

AFC Hornchurch: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75. Scunthorpe United: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

AFC Hornchurch: 16-30 (2 goals). Scunthorpe United: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.48)
(3.55)
(2.55)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
1.25Goals scored / match1.38
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
1.5Goals conceded / match1.75
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
38%Average possession48%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
4.25Shots on target / match4.38
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.25Shots per match10.75
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
4.25Shots on target4.38
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
12.2%Shot conversion12.8%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
38%Possession48%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
1.35xG for1.45
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
1.59xG against1.61
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United

Shooting quality

AFC Hornchurch: Counter-attackingScunthorpe United: Balanced
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
Accuracy (shots on target)41%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AFC Hornchurch
WWLLL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-4
1.50 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
WWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Scunthorpe United
WLLWL
Season result split
25% W13% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-5
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 away
1-0-3
LLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Scunthorpe United is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - AFC Hornchurch · 1.38 goals / match - Scunthorpe United

AFC Hornchurch is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - AFC Hornchurch · 1.75 goals / match - Scunthorpe United

AFC Hornchurch scoring profile: very strong

AFC Hornchurch scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Scunthorpe United keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

Scunthorpe United scoring profile: very strong

Scunthorpe United scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while AFC Hornchurch keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

10Goals scored (season)11
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
12Goals conceded (season)14
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
2.75Average goals in match3.13
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
4Goals scored (last 5)8
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
7Goals conceded (last 5)9
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal75%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
38%2 goals50%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
25%3 goals13%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
0%4 goals0%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal88%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
38%2 goals50%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
25%3 goals25%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
13%4 goals13%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

66%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
0%BTTS in both halves13%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
13%Scored in both halves38%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
20%BTTS - last 560%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Scunthorpe United is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.63 pts / match - AFC Hornchurch · 0.75 pts / match - Scunthorpe United

AFC Hornchurch - half-time state
13% leading25% draw63% trailing
Scunthorpe United - half-time state
13% leading38% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.63Points per match (1st half)0.75
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.38
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.25
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
38%Clean sheet before half-time38%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
75%No goal before half-time63%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.25
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)1
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.88
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
63%Clean sheet after half-time38%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United
50%No goal after half-time25%
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe United

AFC Hornchurch - second-half results

38% W38% D25% L
5
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding385%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Scunthorpe United - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding192%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AFC Hornchurch - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.60
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Scunthorpe United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AFC Hornchurch
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Scunthorpe United
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AFC Hornchurch

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Scunthorpe United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

AFC HornchurchLigaScunthorpe United
Average goals in match 2.753.01 3.13
Both teams scored 38%66% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%60% 50%
Clean sheets 25%17% 13%
Goal before half-time 75%72% 75%
Goal after half-time 63%89% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.01
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

FAQ

When do AFC Hornchurch and Scunthorpe United play?

AFC Hornchurch face Scunthorpe United on 19 September 2026 in National League at Hornchurch Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before AFC Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe United?

AFC Hornchurch score 1.25 goals per game on average and Scunthorpe United 1.38. The National League average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 38% of AFC Hornchurch's matches and 63% of Scunthorpe United's.

What form are AFC Hornchurch and Scunthorpe United in?

Over the last 5 games AFC Hornchurch have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Scunthorpe United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe United?

The statistical background for AFC Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.