AFC Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
AFC Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Hornchurch play Yeovil Town in National League (England). The match date is 27 October 2026.
Current form
AFC Hornchurch: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Yeovil Town: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Hornchurch scores 1.15 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Yeovil Town scores 2.46 and concedes 1.15. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Hornchurch 31%, Yeovil Town 69%. Over 2.5: AFC Hornchurch 62%, Yeovil Town 62%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Yeovil Town has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.22. AFC Hornchurch: 8.8 shots per match, Yeovil Town: 8.8.
Match halves
AFC Hornchurch: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.69. Yeovil Town: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 1.62.
Goals by minute
AFC Hornchurch: 16-30 (4 goals). Yeovil Town: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Hornchurch | Yeovil Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 57% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Yeovil Town is 44% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - AFC Hornchurch · 2.6 pts / match - Yeovil Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yeovil Town is 114% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - AFC Hornchurch · 2.46 goals / match - Yeovil Town
Yeovil Town is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - AFC Hornchurch · 1.15 goals / match - Yeovil Town
AFC Hornchurch scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Yeovil Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
Yeovil Town scores in 100% of matches (13 of 13 matches), while AFC Hornchurch keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AFC Hornchurch
Over / Under - Yeovil Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yeovil Town is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / match - AFC Hornchurch · 1.92 pts / match - Yeovil Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Hornchurch - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Yeovil Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +11 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Hornchurch
Yeovil Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| AFC Hornchurch | Liga | Yeovil Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.62 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 62% | 61% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 19% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do AFC Hornchurch and Yeovil Town play?
AFC Hornchurch face Yeovil Town on 27 October 2026 in National League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town?
AFC Hornchurch score 1.15 goals per game on average and Yeovil Town 2.46. The National League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 31% of AFC Hornchurch's matches and 69% of Yeovil Town's.
What form are AFC Hornchurch and Yeovil Town in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Hornchurch have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Yeovil Town 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.