AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics
Bolton Wanderers are 3rd in the table and are in significantly better form than AFC Wimbledon (17th place), as confirmed by their advantage in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG). The visitors dominate in terms of possession (61% vs 49%) and generate more goal-scoring opportunities, as reflected in their higher average xG (1.6 vs 1.13 in home/away matches). AFC Wimbledon fail to score in 50% of their home games and have poor efficiency (8% conversion rate), while Bolton have only 29% FTS% away from home. Bolton's high draw percentage away from home (43%) and the relatively balanced defensive stats of both teams suggest the possibility of a draw; however, the visitors' better form and quality point towards their victory. Considering all the data, Bolton are the most likely to win, although a draw remains a realistic option due to their tendency to share points on the road.
AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Wimbledon played Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
AFC Wimbledon: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Wimbledon scores 1.08 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.28 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Wimbledon 46%, Bolton Wanderers 55%. Over 2.5: AFC Wimbledon 46%, Bolton Wanderers 41%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.10. AFC Wimbledon: 9.7 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 16.5.
Match halves
AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.65. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
AFC Wimbledon: 61-75 (9 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bolton Wanderers are 3rd in the table and are in significantly better form than AFC Wimbledon (17th place), as confirmed by their advantage in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG). The visitors dominate in terms of possession (61% vs 49%) and generate more goal-scoring opportunities, as reflected in their higher average xG (1.6 vs 1.13 in home/away matches). AFC Wimbledon fail to score in 50% of their home games and have poor efficiency (8% conversion rate), while Bolton have only 29% FTS% away from home. Bolton's high draw percentage away from home (43%) and the relatively balanced defensive stats of both teams suggest the possibility of a draw; however, the visitors' better form and quality point towards their victory. Considering all the data, Bolton are the most likely to win, although a draw remains a realistic option due to their tendency to share points on the road.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Wimbledon | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bolton Wanderers is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon · 2 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolton Wanderers is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.28 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon · 0.93 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
AFC Wimbledon scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Bolton Wanderers scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
Over / Under - Bolton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Wimbledon
Bolton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| AFC Wimbledon | Liga | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 68% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 - 1 Bolton Wanderers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers?
The EFL League One match finished AFC Wimbledon 0:1 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers?
AFC Wimbledon score 1.08 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.28. The EFL League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 46% of AFC Wimbledon's matches and 55% of Bolton Wanderers's.
What form are AFC Wimbledon and Bolton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Wimbledon have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.