AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town: match statistics
AFC Wimbledon displays significantly better home form with a 40% win rate at their own ground and a positive goal difference (+3) in home matches. Northampton Town sits in 23rd place in the table and has a disastrous away record with a 59% loss rate and a negative goal difference (-16) on the road. The visitors have earned only 0.2 points per game in their last five matches without a single victory, conceding as many as 10 goals in the process. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.19 vs 1.02), while AFC Wimbledon boasts better shot accuracy (10% vs 8%) and averages more ball possession. Northampton fails to score in 53% of their away matches, which, combined with the hosts' solid defense (27% clean sheets), provides a realistic chance for an AFC Wimbledon victory.
AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Wimbledon played Northampton Town in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
AFC Wimbledon: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Northampton Town: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Wimbledon scores 1.24 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Northampton Town scores 0.89 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Wimbledon 52%, Northampton Town 43%. Over 2.5: AFC Wimbledon 52%, Northampton Town 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
AFC Wimbledon has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.12. AFC Wimbledon: 10.4 shots per match, Northampton Town: 9.2.
Match halves
AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.70. Northampton Town: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
AFC Wimbledon: 61-75 (12 goals). Northampton Town: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AFC Wimbledon displays significantly better home form with a 40% win rate at their own ground and a positive goal difference (+3) in home matches. Northampton Town sits in 23rd place in the table and has a disastrous away record with a 59% loss rate and a negative goal difference (-16) on the road. The visitors have earned only 0.2 points per game in their last five matches without a single victory, conceding as many as 10 goals in the process. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.19 vs 1.02), while AFC Wimbledon boasts better shot accuracy (10% vs 8%) and averages more ball possession. Northampton fails to score in 53% of their away matches, which, combined with the hosts' solid defense (27% clean sheets), provides a realistic chance for an AFC Wimbledon victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Wimbledon | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AFC Wimbledon is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon · 0.4 pts / match - Northampton Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AFC Wimbledon is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon · 0.89 goals / match - Northampton Town
Northampton Town is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.34 goals / match - Northampton Town
AFC Wimbledon scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 35 matches).
Northampton Town scores in 57% of matches (20 of 35 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
Over / Under - Northampton Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AFC Wimbledon is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon · 0.91 pts / match - Northampton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Northampton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Wimbledon
Northampton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| AFC Wimbledon | Liga | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.70 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 - 1 Northampton Town. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town?
The EFL League One match finished AFC Wimbledon 1:0 Northampton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town?
AFC Wimbledon score 1.24 goals per game on average and Northampton Town 0.89. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of AFC Wimbledon's matches and 43% of Northampton Town's.
What form are AFC Wimbledon and Northampton Town in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Wimbledon have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Northampton Town 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town?
The statistical background for AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.