AFC Wimbledon vs Reading: match statistics
Reading demonstrates a clear offensive advantage over AFC Wimbledon, scoring an average of 1.46 goals per away match with a shot conversion rate of 13%, while the hosts average only 0.77 goals per home match with a 7% conversion rate. The key factor is Reading's attacking efficiency - 4.38 shots on target per away match compared to the hosts' 2.38, which indicates a significantly better quality of chances created. AFC Wimbledon struggles to score, failing to find the net in 54% of home matches, which, given Reading's solid form (1.6 points per match in the last 5 games), makes the visitors the favorites. The goal difference of both teams at their home grounds is 0, however, Reading shows greater stability with a 38% draw rate away from home, which makes that scenario also plausible. Considering all statistics, Reading should secure at least a point, with an edge towards a full victory.
AFC Wimbledon vs Reading: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Wimbledon played Reading in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
AFC Wimbledon: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Reading: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Wimbledon scores 1.04 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Reading scores 1.39 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Wimbledon 43%, Reading 64%. Over 2.5: AFC Wimbledon 43%, Reading 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Reading has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.10. AFC Wimbledon: 9.9 shots per match, Reading: 11.9.
Match halves
AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.64. Reading: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
AFC Wimbledon: 61-75 (9 goals). Reading: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Reading demonstrates a clear offensive advantage over AFC Wimbledon, scoring an average of 1.46 goals per away match with a shot conversion rate of 13%, while the hosts average only 0.77 goals per home match with a 7% conversion rate. The key factor is Reading's attacking efficiency - 4.38 shots on target per away match compared to the hosts' 2.38, which indicates a significantly better quality of chances created. AFC Wimbledon struggles to score, failing to find the net in 54% of home matches, which, given Reading's solid form (1.6 points per match in the last 5 games), makes the visitors the favorites. The goal difference of both teams at their home grounds is 0, however, Reading shows greater stability with a 38% draw rate away from home, which makes that scenario also plausible. Considering all statistics, Reading should secure at least a point, with an edge towards a full victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Wimbledon | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Reading is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.6 pts / match - Reading
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Reading is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.39 goals / match - Reading
AFC Wimbledon scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Reading keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Reading scores in 89% of matches (25 of 28 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
Over / Under - Reading
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Reading is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.39 pts / match - Reading
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Reading - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Wimbledon
Reading
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| AFC Wimbledon | Liga | Reading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 49% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 - 0 Reading. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Wimbledon vs Reading?
The EFL League One match finished AFC Wimbledon 3:2 Reading. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Wimbledon vs Reading?
AFC Wimbledon score 1.04 goals per game on average and Reading 1.39. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 43% of AFC Wimbledon's matches and 64% of Reading's.
What form are AFC Wimbledon and Reading in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Wimbledon have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Reading 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Wimbledon vs Reading?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AFC Wimbledon vs Reading: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.