AGF vs Nordsjælland: match statistics
AGF vs Nordsjælland: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AGF play Nordsjælland in Superliga (Denmark). The match date is 10 April 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
AGF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Nordsjælland: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AGF scores 1.94 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Nordsjælland scores 1.59 and concedes 1.44. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AGF 72%, Nordsjælland 53%. Over 2.5: AGF 53%, Nordsjælland 59%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
AGF has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.63. AGF: 15.7 shots per match, Nordsjælland: 13.5.
Match halves
AGF: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.97. Nordsjælland: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
AGF: 76-90+ (13 goals). Nordsjælland: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
AGF are favorites in this matchup due to a clear defensive edge and superior chance production — hosts concede 0.83 goals per home game versus Nordsjælland’s 2.08 goals conceded away, and AGF’s home goal difference is +12. In attack AGF average 1.83 goals at home with 18.5 shots and 6.58 on target and an average xG of 2.21, while the visitors score 1.33 goals away with 11.5 shots, 4.5 on target and xG 1.38 — meaning the hosts have approximately 0.83 higher xG and about 7 more shots per match. Nordsjælland’s finishing rate is slightly higher (12% vs 10%), but the visitors fail to score in 33% of away games, whereas AGF fail to score in only 17% of home matches, which favors the hosts’ greater reliability. Last 5 form shows Nordsjælland with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (2.0 points per game) and AGF with 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points per game); however AGF’s home metrics (67% win rate and 50% clean sheets) give them the edge and I back a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AGF | Nordsjælland | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AGF is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - AGF · 1.2 pts / match - Nordsjælland
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AGF is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.94 goals / match - AGF · 1.59 goals / match - Nordsjælland
AGF is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - AGF · 1.44 goals / match - Nordsjælland
AGF scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Nordsjælland keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
Nordsjælland scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while AGF keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AGF
Over / Under — Nordsjælland
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AGF is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.16 pts / match - AGF · 1.38 pts / match - Nordsjælland
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AGF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 59%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nordsjælland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AGF
Nordsjælland
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| AGF | Liga | Nordsjælland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.94 | 3.10 | • 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 60% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): AGF 2 - 1 - 0 Nordsjælland. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AGF vs Nordsjælland?
The Superliga match finished AGF 1:1 Nordsjælland. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AGF and Nordsjælland?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches AGF won 2, Nordsjælland won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AGF vs Nordsjælland?
AGF score 1.94 goals per game on average and Nordsjælland 1.59. The Superliga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 72% of AGF's matches and 53% of Nordsjælland's.
What form are AGF and Nordsjælland in?
Over the last 5 games AGF have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Nordsjælland 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AGF vs Nordsjælland?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.