AGMK vs Lokomotiv: match statistics
AGMK vs Lokomotiv: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AGMK play Lokomotiv in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 27 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
AGMK: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Lokomotiv: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AGMK scores 1.62 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Lokomotiv scores 1.38 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AGMK 69%, Lokomotiv 62%. Over 2.5: AGMK 62%, Lokomotiv 46%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiv has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.49. AGMK: 12.5 shots per match, Lokomotiv: 13.8.
Match halves
AGMK: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.08. Lokomotiv: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
AGMK: 46-60 (6 goals). Lokomotiv: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I predict a draw. AGMK creates slightly more chances at home — average xG 1.67 and 13.5 shots per match translate into 9 goals scored in the last 5 fixtures and 1.6 points per match in that period. Lokomotiv is, however, more efficient with fewer attempts: 1.56 xG and 11.8 shots on the road, but higher conversion 14% versus the home side’s 11% and 60% away win rate significantly boost their prospects. Defensively both teams are close — AGMK concedes 1.5 goals on average versus Lokomotiv’s 1.6 and xG against 1.28 vs 1.41 — and the hosts have only 0% clean sheets at home compared to 20% for the visitors, which suggests a goalscoring game. Therefore I assess the probabilities as 30% for the home side, 36% for a draw and 34% for the away side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AGMK | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AGMK is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - AGMK · 1.6 pts / match - Lokomotiv
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AGMK is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - AGMK · 1.38 goals / match - Lokomotiv
AGMK is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - AGMK · 1.38 goals / match - Lokomotiv
AGMK scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Lokomotiv keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Lokomotiv scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while AGMK keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AGMK
Over / Under — Lokomotiv
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - AGMK · 1.38 pts / match - Lokomotiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AGMK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lokomotiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AGMK
Lokomotiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| AGMK | Liga | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.63 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of AGMK vs Lokomotiv?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished AGMK 2:1 Lokomotiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AGMK vs Lokomotiv?
AGMK score 1.62 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv 1.38. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 69% of AGMK's matches and 62% of Lokomotiv's.
What form are AGMK and Lokomotiv in?
Over the last 5 games AGMK have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Lokomotiv 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AGMK vs Lokomotiv?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AGMK vs Lokomotiv: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.