AGMK vs Mash'al: match statistics
AGMK vs Mash'al: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AGMK played Mash'al in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 27 July 2026. Venue: OKMK Sport Majmuasi. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
AGMK: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Mash'al: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
AGMK scores 1.62 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Mash'al scores 0.46 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AGMK 69%, Mash'al 38%. Over 2.5: AGMK 62%, Mash'al 38%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
AGMK has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.01. AGMK: 12.3 shots per match, Mash'al: 7.9.
Match halves
AGMK: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.08. Mash'al: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
AGMK: 46-60 (6 goals). Mash'al: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AGMK appears favorite based on standings and recent form: the hosts sit 4th with 6 wins this season versus Mash'al’s 1 win and 16th place. In the last 5 matches AGMK scored 15 goals (3.0 per game) while Mash'al scored 6 (1.2 per game); season average goals at home are 1.33 for AGMK versus 0.67 for the away side. In chance quality AGMK posts a home xG of 1.54 compared to Mash'al’s away xG of 0.86, also creating more shots (13.17 vs 6.83) and shots on target (4.17 vs 2.33). Defensively the edge is also with AGMK: the hosts concede 1.17 goals at home on average, while Mash'al concede 2.33 on the road and have a 100% loss rate in away matches this season. Therefore I estimate roughly a 70% probability of an AGMK win, 18% draw and 12% Mash'al win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Mash'al has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% and concedes an average of 2.33 goals per match, while AGMK has a seasonal BTTS of just 14% and scores 0.29 goals per match. However, in the last 5 matches AGMK records 100% BTTS, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, whereas Mash'al in the last 5 has 60% BTTS and scores 1.2 on average. xG is 1.17 for the home side and 0.86 for the visitors, total xG ~2.03, and the hosts average 3.57 shots on target versus 2.33 for the guests, which suggests chance creation by both sides. Additionally, the visitors have 0% clean sheets this season and the league average BTTS is 56%, so the signals predominantly indicate BTTS - Yes (both teams to score).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: AGMK's attack is 1.17 xG per match and Mash'al's defense concedes 2.03 xG, yielding an average of 1.60 expected goals for the home side; conversely Mash'al posts 0.86 xG in attack while AGMK concedes 1.53 xG, averaging 1.20 for the visitors — a total of 2.80 expected goals. Using a Poisson distribution with λ=2.80 the probability of over 1.5 goals is roughly 77% (P(0)+P(1)≈23%), over 2.5 about 53%, and over 3.5 about 31%. Supporting the over are AGMK’s last 5 matches: 15 goals scored (3.0 average) and 100% of matches over 2.5, while Mash'al have 83% of season matches over 2.5 and 67% BTTS, which increases the likelihood of more goals. Additionally AGMK averages 8.86 shots with 3.57 on target at a low conversion rate of 3%, whereas Mash'al average 6.83 shots with 2.33 on target and a 10% conversion, suggesting the combination of chance creation and the visitors’ efficiency can translate into goals. Therefore the strongest data signal is over the 1.5 line (over 1.5) with an estimated probability ≈77%, while over 2.5 (≈53%) is less decisive and carries more risk.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
AGMK is in better form: in the last 5 matches they have won 4 of 5 (80%), while Mash'al has no wins this season (0%) and has lost all matches (100%), which strongly favors the home side. At half-time the hosts draw frequently — 71% of their matches are level after 45 minutes, and the average first-half goals are 0.14 for AGMK and 0.17 for Mash'al, so I anticipate a low-scoring opening act. After the break AGMK look stronger offensively: in the last 5 fixtures they have averaged 1.8 goals in second halves versus 0.8 for Mash'al, and the hosts’ xG is 1.17 compared to the visitors’ 0.86, indicating more created opportunities. Additionally, Mash'al score only 0.67 goals per game and concede on average 2.33, so if the match is level at half-time a takeover of initiative and a victory for AGMK is more likely. On this basis I recommend HT/FT draw/home win (X/1) as the most probable scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AGMK | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AGMK is 175% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - AGMK · 0.8 pts / match - Mash'al
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AGMK is 252% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - AGMK · 0.46 goals / match - Mash'al
AGMK is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - AGMK · 1.69 goals / match - Mash'al
AGMK scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Mash'al keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
Mash'al scores in 46% of matches (6 of 13 matches), while AGMK keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AGMK
Over / Under - Mash'al
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AGMK is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - AGMK · 0.46 pts / match - Mash'al
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AGMK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mash'al - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AGMK
Mash'al
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| AGMK | Liga | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AGMK 2 - 0 - 0 Mash'al. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AGMK vs Mash'al?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished AGMK 2:1 Mash'al. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AGMK and Mash'al?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AGMK won 2, Mash'al won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AGMK vs Mash'al?
AGMK score 1.62 goals per game on average and Mash'al 0.46. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 69% of AGMK's matches and 38% of Mash'al's.
What form are AGMK and Mash'al in?
Over the last 5 games AGMK have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Mash'al 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AGMK vs Mash'al?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.