Agropecuario vs Atlanta: match statistics
Agropecuario vs Atlanta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Agropecuario played Atlanta in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Agropecuario: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Atlanta: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Agropecuario scores 1.09 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Atlanta scores 1.27 and concedes 0.82. League average: 1.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Agropecuario 45%, Atlanta 45%. Over 2.5: Agropecuario 36%, Atlanta 45%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Agropecuario has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.29. Agropecuario: 11.6 shots per match, Atlanta: 10.9.
Match halves
Agropecuario: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.73. Atlanta: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Agropecuario: 76-90+ (5 goals). Atlanta: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.86 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (Atlanta) based on a clearer form trend: Atlanta have won 4 of their last 5 matches and average 2.4 points per game in that period, while Agropecuario have won 2 of 5 and average 1.2 points per game. The difference is visible in the goal record over the last 5 fixtures — Atlanta have scored 9 and conceded 4, whereas Agropecuario have scored 7 and conceded as many as 10. Agropecuario create more chances at home (avg xG 1.61 and 13.17 shots with 4.83 on target), but the hosts’ conversion is only 9% versus Atlanta’s 13% away conversion, which limits their advantage in chance creation. Defensively Atlanta look more solid: they concede on average 1.00 goal away with xG against 1.05, while Agro concede 1.17 at home and have a worse recent defensive run (10 goals conceded in 5 matches). Considering better form (4 wins vs 2), higher finishing efficiency (13% vs 9%) and a superior goal balance in the last 5 games (9–4 vs 7–10), I give Atlanta the better chances to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have 60% BTTS in the last 5 matches, meaning roughly 3 of the last 5 fixtures saw goals from both sides. Agropecuario concedes on average 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches (10 conceded), while Atlanta scores on average 1.8 goals in the last 5 (9 scored), which increases the likelihood of the visitors scoring. Season goal averages are 1.29 for the home side and 1.25 for the visitors, and xG is 1.42 for Agropecuario versus 1.08 for Atlanta (total xG ≈ 2.50), suggesting a sufficient number of scoring chances. Additionally, similar shots on target figures (3.43 vs 3.75) and conversion rates of 11% vs 13% show both sides create opportunities, so a BTTS - Yes scenario is more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and shooting statistics I estimate expected goals: Agropecuario ~1.24 (xG_for 1.42 vs xG_against_away 1.05), Atlanta ~1.06 (xG_for 1.08 vs xG_against_home 1.03), total ≈2.30 goals. With lambda=2.30 the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 67% (1 - P(0) - P(1) in the Poisson distribution ≈66.9%), making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. The 2.5 line is less certain: seasonal Over 2.5 is 43% (home) and 50% (away), and the model gives about a 40% chance of Over 2.5, although the last 5 matches of both teams showed a 60% Over 2.5 rate. Over 3.5 is unlikely (~20%), which aligns with seasonal rates of 29% for Agropecuario and 0% for Atlanta; therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely outcome is a draw: hosts lead at the break in 29% of matches, while HT draws occur in 57% of their games (guests lead only in 14%). Over the full match the hosts are stronger — they have 57% home wins and average 1.86 points per game, with an xG of 1.42 versus the visitors' 1.08, and average shots of 11.43 vs 10.0. Additionally, hosts concede only 0.14 goals on average before the break and have 86% clean sheets at HT, which explains the frequent draw after the first 45 minutes. The visitors are in form (last 5 matches: 4 wins, 80% win rate), but the xG balance and home statistics favor a turnaround by the hosts after the break, so I select the scenario draw at half-time and hosts to win the match (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Agropecuario | Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlanta is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Agropecuario · 2.4 pts / match - Atlanta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlanta is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Agropecuario · 1.27 goals / match - Atlanta
Atlanta is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Agropecuario · 0.82 goals / match - Atlanta
Agropecuario scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Atlanta keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
Atlanta scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Agropecuario keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Agropecuario
Over / Under - Atlanta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlanta is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Agropecuario · 1.18 pts / match - Atlanta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Agropecuario - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlanta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Agropecuario
Atlanta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Agropecuario | Liga | Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.45 | 1.86 | ▲ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 39% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 29% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 40% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 58% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 70% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Agropecuario vs Atlanta?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Agropecuario 0:0 Atlanta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Agropecuario vs Atlanta?
Agropecuario score 1.09 goals per game on average and Atlanta 1.27. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Agropecuario's matches and 45% of Atlanta's.
What form are Agropecuario and Atlanta in?
Over the last 5 games Agropecuario have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Atlanta 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Agropecuario vs Atlanta?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.