Águila vs Alianza: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely close. Águila is in excellent home form with a 53% win rate and an impressive run of four victories in their last five home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.76 goals per home game and have a positive goal difference of +7. Meanwhile, Alianza is a strong away team with a 61% win rate on the road and an even better away goal difference of +18. The visitors concede few goals away from home (averaging 0.83 per match) and keep a clean sheet in 39% of their games. Both teams have an identical shot conversion rate (18%) and similar xG statistics, suggesting a comparable offensive level. Considering Águila's excellent home form and Alianza's solidity away from home, the most likely scenario appears to be a tightly contested match with a slight advantage for either side or a draw.
Águila vs Alianza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Águila played Alianza in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 19 February 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Águila: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Alianza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Águila scores 1.47 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Alianza scores 1.71 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Águila 56%, Alianza 53%. Over 2.5: Águila 56%, Alianza 53%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Águila has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.39. Águila: 9.3 shots per match, Alianza: 9.7.
Match halves
Águila: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.68. Alianza: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Águila: 16-30 (12 goals). Alianza: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely close. Águila is in excellent home form with a 53% win rate and an impressive run of four victories in their last five home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.76 goals per home game and have a positive goal difference of +7. Meanwhile, Alianza is a strong away team with a 61% win rate on the road and an even better away goal difference of +18. The visitors concede few goals away from home (averaging 0.83 per match) and keep a clean sheet in 39% of their games. Both teams have an identical shot conversion rate (18%) and similar xG statistics, suggesting a comparable offensive level. Considering Águila's excellent home form and Alianza's solidity away from home, the most likely scenario appears to be a tightly contested match with a slight advantage for either side or a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Águila | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Águila is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Águila · 1.8 pts / match - Alianza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alianza is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Águila · 1.71 goals / match - Alianza
Alianza is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Águila · 0.97 goals / match - Alianza
Águila scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Alianza keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
Alianza scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Águila
Over / Under - Alianza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Águila - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Alianza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Águila
Alianza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Águila | Liga | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.73 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 57% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 53% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- AlianzaGoalEnrico Erick Dueñas Hernández
- AlianzaGoalGustavo Moura e Souza
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Águila 1 - 0 - 1 Alianza. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Águila vs Alianza?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Águila 0:3 Alianza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Águila and Alianza?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Águila won 1, Alianza won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Águila vs Alianza?
Águila score 1.47 goals per game on average and Alianza 1.71. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Águila's matches and 53% of Alianza's.
What form are Águila and Alianza in?
Over the last 5 games Águila have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Alianza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Águila vs Alianza?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Águila vs Alianza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.