Águila vs Inter: match statistics
Águila vs Inter: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Águila played Inter in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Águila: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Inter: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Águila scores 1.36 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Inter scores 1.15 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Águila 49%, Inter 53%. Over 2.5: Águila 47%, Inter 55%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Águila has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.22. Águila: 9.7 shots per match, Inter: 7.5.
Match halves
Águila: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.64. Inter: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Águila: 16-30 (13 goals). Inter: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Águila has an edge in chance quality and conversion: at home they average 1.61 goals per game with xG 1.53 and register 10.14 shots (4.59 on target), while Inter away records 1.11 goals with xG 1.25 and 7.47 shots (3.63 on target). Defensively the hosts also perform better — Águila concedes 1.26 goals at home on average, while Inter concedes 1.74 on the road; in the last 5 matches Inter has shipped 8 goals versus 3 conceded by Águila. The gap in offensive reliability is pronounced: Águila have only 9% of matches without a goal, compared to Inter’s 42%, which increases the probability of goals for the hosts. Form corroborates the statistical view — Águila have won 3 of their last 5 matches and average 2.00 points in that period, while Inter have only 1 win and 1.2 points per game. In light of these figures I favor a home win, hence the suggested probabilities: 65% for 1, 20% for draw and 15% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators show both teams have similar BTTS trends: Águila 52% and Inter 53%, while the league average for BTTS is 54%. The last 5 matches present mixed signals — Águila has only 20% BTTS, scoring 7 and conceding 3 goals in those five with an average offensive xG of 1.85 and opponents' xG 1.21; Inter has 60% BTTS, scoring 6 and conceding 8 goals with offensive xG 0.97 and opponents' xG 1.07. Combining seasonal xG (Águila 1.19 vs Inter 1.25) with xG against (Águila 1.00 vs Inter 1.46) yields estimated ~1.33 expected goals for the home side and ~1.13 for the away side, which in a Poisson model translates to roughly 0.73*0.67 ≈ 0.49 probability that both will score. Additionally, Inter as the away team has 68% of matches over 2.5 goals and 53% of over 2.5 cases with BTTS, and both teams average similar offensive output at ~7.4 shots and ~3.5 shots on target per match, so the final pick is BTTS - Yes (55%) vs No (45%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The total goals projection is 2.51 (Águila 1.41, Inter 1.10), indicating a strong probability for Over 1.5 but only moderate for Over 2.5. This season Águila has 76% of matches Over 1.5, Inter 74%, and both teams record 52% and 53% BTTS respectively, which reinforces the Over 1.5 signal. For the 2.5 line the data is mixed: seasonally Águila has 43% Over 2.5, Inter 68% (average 55.5%), and in the last 5 matches Águila scored 7 and conceded 3, while Inter has 6 scored and 8 conceded, increasing uncertainty around 2.5. xG confirms the home offensive impulse (Águila last 5 xG 1.85 vs season 1.19) and Inter’s vulnerability to conceding (opponents create 1.46 xG per game against Inter), therefore the strongest and safest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (Poisson model gives ~72% chance of Over 1.5 and ~46% for Over 2.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I consider the most likely scenario to be 1/1 — Águila leads at the break and ultimately wins — because the hosts led at half-time in 8 matches (38%) and score an average of 0.67 goals in the first half while conceding only 0.29, giving them a real early advantage. In the last 5 matches Águila has a 60% win rate versus Inter’s 20%, and the season-long home points average is 1.38 versus 0.84 for the visitors, so form and points profile favor Águila. Inter are dangerous after the break (they score an average of 0.74 goals in the second half versus Águila’s 0.52) and have a slightly higher xG (1.25 vs 1.19), so an equalizer is possible, but Inter also concede an average of 1.74 goals per match, which limits their chances of a turnaround. Considering Águila’s strong first-half metrics (38% HT leads, low average HT concessions of 0.29) and the hosts’ better form, I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (23%), with the next significant options being X/X (22%) and X/2 (19%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Águila | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Águila is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Águila · 1.2 pts / match - Inter
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Águila is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Águila · 1.15 goals / match - Inter
Águila is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Águila · 1.43 goals / match - Inter
Águila scores in 78% of matches (35 of 45 matches), while Inter keeps a clean sheet in 28% (11 of 40 matches).
Inter scores in 65% of matches (26 of 40 matches), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 33% (15 of 45 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Águila
Over / Under - Inter
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Águila is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.49 pts / match - Águila · 1.25 pts / match - Inter
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Águila - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Inter - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Águila
Inter
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Águila | Liga | Inter | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.51 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 54% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- InterGoalIsaac Antonio Portillo Molina
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Águila 2 - 0 - 1 Inter. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Águila vs Inter?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Águila 0:1 Inter. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Águila and Inter?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Águila won 2, Inter won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Águila vs Inter?
Águila score 1.36 goals per game on average and Inter 1.15. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Águila's matches and 53% of Inter's.
What form are Águila and Inter in?
Over the last 5 games Águila have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Inter 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Águila vs Inter?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Águila vs Inter: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.