Sweden - AllsvenskanStrawberry ArenaData current as of 28 October 2026

AIK vs Elfsborg: match statistics

AIK
2 : 2half-time 1:1
Elfsborg

AIK vs Elfsborg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AIK played Elfsborg in Allsvenskan (Sweden). The match was played on 27 October 2026. Venue: Strawberry Arena. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

AIK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Elfsborg: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

AIK scores 1.60 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Elfsborg scores 1.48 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AIK 72%, Elfsborg 60%. Over 2.5: AIK 68%, Elfsborg 48%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

AIK has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.43. AIK: 13.9 shots per match, Elfsborg: 12.8.

Match halves

AIK: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.92. Elfsborg: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.92.

Goals by minute

AIK: 76-90+ (11 goals). Elfsborg: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Allsvenskan: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Elfsborg hold the advantage in the standings, sitting 5th compared with AIK in 9th, and have collected 10 points in their last five matches, while the hosts have managed just 2. Both teams scored 10 goals over that period, but AIK conceded as many as 15, compared with just 5 for Elfsborg, which clearly favours the visitors. At home, AIK concede an average of 2.25 goals per match, while Elfsborg score 1.33 goals per away game and have failed to find the net in only 8% of their matches on the road. The hosts can still create chances, however: their home xG stands at 1.81, compared with the 1.39 xG that the visitors allow away from home, so an Elfsborg win is far from certain. Further caution is warranted by the fact that 42% of the visitors’ away matches have ended in a draw. Even so, their current form and stronger defence give them the best chance of claiming victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS landed in 75% of Elfsborg’s away matches and 50% of AIK’s home games, while both teams scored in each of AIK’s last five matches. AIK have averaged 1.75 goals at home and have not failed to score in any of those matches, increasing the likelihood of a home goal. Elfsborg have averaged 1.33 goals away, and AIK have conceded as many as 3.0 goals per game across their last five matches, so the visitors also have a clear chance of finding the net. However, AIK’s 50% home clean-sheet rate calls for caution: the case for BTTS - Yes is strong, but not overwhelming.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 92% of AIK’s home matches and 75% of Elfsborg’s away games. AIK average 1.75 goals at home, while Elfsborg concede 1.25 on the road; the hosts have also scored in every home match, boosting the chance of at least two goals overall. The visitors average 1.33 goals away, although AIK concede just 0.75 at home, so I rate their contribution more cautiously. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% of both teams’ last five matches, but across the full sample of AIK home games and Elfsborg away games, the figures were 42% and 58%, respectively. This discrepancy supports the safer Over 1.5 line rather than Over 2.5, with a projected 2.84 goals in the match.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: AIK were level at the break in 58% of their matches this season and in 4 of their last 5, while both teams average 0.58 goals before half-time. The case for a home win after the break is supported by their season-long second-half scoring record: AIK average 1.17 goals in the second half compared with Elfsborg’s 0.75, while Elfsborg concede 0.92 goals per match in that period. AIK won 67% of second halves, whereas Elfsborg won just 17%, making X/1 the strongest individual scenario. However, this pick carries considerable uncertainty: AIK have not won any of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 3.0 goals per game, while Elfsborg have recorded 3 wins. Therefore, X/2 and 2/2 remain viable scenarios, although AIK’s season-long advantage in win rate, 58% to 33%, means they should not be rated above X/1.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
AIKElfsborg
13Shots18
AIKElfsborg
4Shots on target5
AIKElfsborg
1.36xG1.83
AIKElfsborg
2Corners10
AIKElfsborg
34Dangerous attacks47
AIKElfsborg
15Fouls5
AIKElfsborg
2Cards1
AIKElfsborg

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.6Goals scored / match1.48
AIKElfsborg
1.72Goals conceded / match0.96
AIKElfsborg
54%Average possession48%
AIKElfsborg
4.84Shots on target / match4.2
AIKElfsborg

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.92Shots per match12.76
AIKElfsborg
4.84Shots on target4.2
AIKElfsborg
11.5%Shot conversion11.6%
AIKElfsborg
54%Possession48%
AIKElfsborg
1.53xG for1.43
AIKElfsborg
1.74xG against1.41
AIKElfsborg

Shooting quality

AIK: BalancedElfsborg: Balanced
AIKElfsborg
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Elfsborg is 120% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - AIK · 2.2 pts / match - Elfsborg

AIK
DLLDW
Season result split
40% W28% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-8
1.48 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Elfsborg
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W36% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-9-5
1.68 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AIK is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - AIK · 1.48 goals / match - Elfsborg

Elfsborg is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.72 goals / match - AIK · 0.96 goals / match - Elfsborg

AIK scoring profile: strong

AIK scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Elfsborg keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).

Elfsborg scoring profile: very strong

Elfsborg scores in 92% of matches (23 of 25 matches), while AIK keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).

40Goals scored (season)37
AIKElfsborg
43Goals conceded (season)24
AIKElfsborg
3.32Average goals in match2.44
AIKElfsborg
11Goals scored (last 5)9
AIKElfsborg
12Goals conceded (last 5)3
AIKElfsborg

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal92%
AIKElfsborg
52%2 goals44%
AIKElfsborg
16%3 goals8%
AIKElfsborg
8%4 goals4%
AIKElfsborg

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal64%
AIKElfsborg
44%2 goals28%
AIKElfsborg
24%3 goals4%
AIKElfsborg
12%4 goals0%
AIKElfsborg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time16%
AIKElfsborg
12%BTTS in both halves0%
AIKElfsborg
24%Scored in both halves28%
AIKElfsborg

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
AIKElfsborg
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
AIKElfsborg
100%BTTS - last 540%
AIKElfsborg

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
AIKElfsborg
52%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
AIKElfsborg
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
AIKElfsborg

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
AIKElfsborg
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
AIKElfsborg
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
AIKElfsborg

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Elfsborg is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.16 pts / match - AIK · 1.6 pts / match - Elfsborg

AIK - half-time state
20% leading56% draw24% trailing
Elfsborg - half-time state
36% leading52% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.16Points per match (1st half)1.6
AIKElfsborg
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.56
AIKElfsborg
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.28
AIKElfsborg
1.44Average goals (1st half)0.84
AIKElfsborg
48%Clean sheet before half-time72%
AIKElfsborg
44%No goal before half-time52%
AIKElfsborg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)1.52
AIKElfsborg
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
AIKElfsborg
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
AIKElfsborg
1.88Average goals (2nd half)1.6
AIKElfsborg
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
AIKElfsborg
52%No goal after half-time28%
AIKElfsborg

AIK - second-half results

24% W48% D28% L
29
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Elfsborg - second-half results

40% W32% D28% L
40
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AIK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match1.43.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Elfsborg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AIK
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
7
7
16-30
7
6
31-45
6
6
46-60
6
9
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Elfsborg
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
1
31-45
4
4
46-60
7
7
61-75
12
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AIK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
129%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Elfsborg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Allsvenskan).

Teams vs league

AIKLigaElfsborg
Average goals in match▲ 3.322.92▼ 2.44
Both teams scored▲ 72%52%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 68%54%▼ 48%
Clean sheets▼ 16%26%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time• 68%69%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▼ 68%80%▲ 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ElfsborgYellow cardAri Sigurpálsson
  2. AIKGoalJohan HoveAssist: Axel Kouame
  3. AIKSubstitutionOn: Mads Døhr ThychosenOff: Lukas Bergquist
  4. AIKSubstitutionOn: Taha AyariOff: Lucas Assadi
  5. AIKYellow cardAxel Kouame
  6. AIKYellow cardDiogo Tomas
  7. AIKSubstitutionOn: Fredrik NissenOff: Wilmer Olofsson
  8. ElfsborgSubstitutionOn: Jonathan EsengaOff: Niklas Hult

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): AIK 0 - 1 - 2 Elfsborg. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Elfsborg
1 : 1
AIK
AIK
1 : 2
Elfsborg
Elfsborg
6 : 1
AIK

FAQ

What was the result of AIK vs Elfsborg?

The Allsvenskan match finished AIK 2:2 Elfsborg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between AIK and Elfsborg?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches AIK won 0, Elfsborg won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before AIK vs Elfsborg?

AIK score 1.60 goals per game on average and Elfsborg 1.48. The Allsvenskan average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 72% of AIK's matches and 60% of Elfsborg's.

What form are AIK and Elfsborg in?

Over the last 5 games AIK have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Elfsborg 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AIK vs Elfsborg?

The statistical background for AIK vs Elfsborg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.