AIK vs Elfsborg: match statistics
AIK vs Elfsborg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AIK played Elfsborg in Allsvenskan (Sweden). The match was played on 27 October 2026. Venue: Strawberry Arena. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
AIK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Elfsborg: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AIK scores 1.60 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Elfsborg scores 1.48 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AIK 72%, Elfsborg 60%. Over 2.5: AIK 68%, Elfsborg 48%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
AIK has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.43. AIK: 13.9 shots per match, Elfsborg: 12.8.
Match halves
AIK: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.92. Elfsborg: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
AIK: 76-90+ (11 goals). Elfsborg: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Allsvenskan: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Elfsborg hold the advantage in the standings, sitting 5th compared with AIK in 9th, and have collected 10 points in their last five matches, while the hosts have managed just 2. Both teams scored 10 goals over that period, but AIK conceded as many as 15, compared with just 5 for Elfsborg, which clearly favours the visitors. At home, AIK concede an average of 2.25 goals per match, while Elfsborg score 1.33 goals per away game and have failed to find the net in only 8% of their matches on the road. The hosts can still create chances, however: their home xG stands at 1.81, compared with the 1.39 xG that the visitors allow away from home, so an Elfsborg win is far from certain. Further caution is warranted by the fact that 42% of the visitors’ away matches have ended in a draw. Even so, their current form and stronger defence give them the best chance of claiming victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 75% of Elfsborg’s away matches and 50% of AIK’s home games, while both teams scored in each of AIK’s last five matches. AIK have averaged 1.75 goals at home and have not failed to score in any of those matches, increasing the likelihood of a home goal. Elfsborg have averaged 1.33 goals away, and AIK have conceded as many as 3.0 goals per game across their last five matches, so the visitors also have a clear chance of finding the net. However, AIK’s 50% home clean-sheet rate calls for caution: the case for BTTS - Yes is strong, but not overwhelming.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 92% of AIK’s home matches and 75% of Elfsborg’s away games. AIK average 1.75 goals at home, while Elfsborg concede 1.25 on the road; the hosts have also scored in every home match, boosting the chance of at least two goals overall. The visitors average 1.33 goals away, although AIK concede just 0.75 at home, so I rate their contribution more cautiously. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% of both teams’ last five matches, but across the full sample of AIK home games and Elfsborg away games, the figures were 42% and 58%, respectively. This discrepancy supports the safer Over 1.5 line rather than Over 2.5, with a projected 2.84 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: AIK were level at the break in 58% of their matches this season and in 4 of their last 5, while both teams average 0.58 goals before half-time. The case for a home win after the break is supported by their season-long second-half scoring record: AIK average 1.17 goals in the second half compared with Elfsborg’s 0.75, while Elfsborg concede 0.92 goals per match in that period. AIK won 67% of second halves, whereas Elfsborg won just 17%, making X/1 the strongest individual scenario. However, this pick carries considerable uncertainty: AIK have not won any of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 3.0 goals per game, while Elfsborg have recorded 3 wins. Therefore, X/2 and 2/2 remain viable scenarios, although AIK’s season-long advantage in win rate, 58% to 33%, means they should not be rated above X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AIK | Elfsborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Elfsborg is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - AIK · 2.2 pts / match - Elfsborg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AIK is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - AIK · 1.48 goals / match - Elfsborg
Elfsborg is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - AIK · 0.96 goals / match - Elfsborg
AIK scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Elfsborg keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Elfsborg scores in 92% of matches (23 of 25 matches), while AIK keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AIK
Over / Under - Elfsborg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Elfsborg is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - AIK · 1.6 pts / match - Elfsborg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AIK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Elfsborg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AIK
Elfsborg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Allsvenskan).
Teams vs league
| AIK | Liga | Elfsborg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.32 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 54% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 26% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): AIK 0 - 1 - 2 Elfsborg. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AIK vs Elfsborg?
The Allsvenskan match finished AIK 2:2 Elfsborg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AIK and Elfsborg?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches AIK won 0, Elfsborg won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AIK vs Elfsborg?
AIK score 1.60 goals per game on average and Elfsborg 1.48. The Allsvenskan average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 72% of AIK's matches and 60% of Elfsborg's.
What form are AIK and Elfsborg in?
Over the last 5 games AIK have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Elfsborg 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AIK vs Elfsborg?
The statistical background for AIK vs Elfsborg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.
