Scotland - League OneData current as of 15 October 2026

Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Airdrieonians play Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The match date is 17 October 2026.

Current form

Airdrieonians: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Hamilton Academical: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Airdrieonians scores 0.90 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Hamilton Academical scores 2.33 and concedes 0.22. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Airdrieonians 50%, Hamilton Academical 22%. Over 2.5: Airdrieonians 50%, Hamilton Academical 56%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Hamilton Academical has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.09. Airdrieonians: 8.3 shots per match, Hamilton Academical: 10.8.

Match halves

Airdrieonians: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50. Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 78%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Airdrieonians: 31-45+ (3 goals). Hamilton Academical: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.40)
(3.40)
(1.91)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.9Goals scored / match2.33
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
1.3Goals conceded / match0.22
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
49%Average possession49%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
3.6Shots on target / match5.33
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.3Shots per match10.78
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
3.6Shots on target5.33
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
10.8%Shot conversion21.6%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
49%Possession49%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
1.09xG for1.49
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
1.19xG against0.91
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

Shooting quality

Airdrieonians: BalancedHamilton Academical: Efficient finishing
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
Accuracy (shots on target)43%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hamilton Academical is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Airdrieonians · 3 pts / match - Hamilton Academical

Airdrieonians
LWWWD
Season result split
30% W40% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-3
1.30 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Hamilton Academical
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
89% W11% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-0
2.78 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
WDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hamilton Academical is 159% better for: goals scored per match.

0.9 goals / match - Airdrieonians · 2.33 goals / match - Hamilton Academical

Hamilton Academical is 491% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.3 goals / match - Airdrieonians · 0.22 goals / match - Hamilton Academical

Airdrieonians scoring profile: more difficult

Airdrieonians scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 78% (7 of 9 matches).

Hamilton Academical scoring profile: very strong

Hamilton Academical scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Airdrieonians keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

9Goals scored (season)21
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
13Goals conceded (season)2
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
2.2Average goals in match2.56
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
7Goals scored (last 5)11
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal89%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
20%2 goals56%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0%3 goals44%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0%4 goals33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal22%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
40%2 goals0%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
20%3 goals0%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
10%4 goals0%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

22%
Hamilton Academical - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 9 matches
45%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time11%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
20%Scored in both halves33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
60%BTTS - last 540%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time44%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hamilton Academical is 97% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / match - Airdrieonians · 2.56 pts / match - Hamilton Academical

Airdrieonians - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing
Hamilton Academical - half-time state
78% leading22% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)2.56
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.4Goals scored (1st half)1.33
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.11
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.9Average goals (1st half)1.44
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
70%Clean sheet before half-time89%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
60%No goal before half-time22%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)1.89
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.11
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.11
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
50%Clean sheet after half-time89%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
50%No goal after half-time56%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

Airdrieonians - second-half results

20% W60% D20% L
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hamilton Academical - second-half results

44% W56% D0% L
23
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 78% of matches and wins 89%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Airdrieonians - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Hamilton Academical - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.80
Goals scored / match1.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+7+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Airdrieonians
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Hamilton Academical
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
5
0
16-30
4
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+68%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Airdrieonians

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
56%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Hamilton Academical

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
197%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
14%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

AirdrieoniansLigaHamilton Academical
Average goals in match▼ 2.202.80▼ 2.56
Both teams scored▲ 50%45%▼ 22%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%59%▼ 56%
Clean sheets▲ 40%32%▲ 78%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%67%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▼ 70%80%▼ 44%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Airdrieonians 0 - 0 - 1 Hamilton Academical. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Airdrieonians and Hamilton Academical play?

Airdrieonians face Hamilton Academical on 17 October 2026 in League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical?

Airdrieonians score 0.90 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 2.33. The League One average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Airdrieonians's matches and 22% of Hamilton Academical's.

What form are Airdrieonians and Hamilton Academical in?

Over the last 5 games Airdrieonians have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.