Netherlands - Eerste DivisieSportpark De ToekomstData current as of 17 October 2026

Ajax II vs De Graafschap: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ajax II vs De Graafschap: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ajax II play De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 19 October 2026. Venue: Sportpark De Toekomst.

Current form

Ajax II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. De Graafschap: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ajax II scores 1.30 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. De Graafschap scores 1.30 and concedes 2.30. League average: 3.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ajax II 60%, De Graafschap 80%. Over 2.5: Ajax II 60%, De Graafschap 80%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Ajax II has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.55. Ajax II: 14.4 shots per match, De Graafschap: 14.6.

Match halves

Ajax II: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. De Graafschap: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Ajax II: 0-15 (5 goals). De Graafschap: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.52 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.60)
(4.00)
(2.20)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ajax IIDe Graafschap
1.3Goals scored / match1.3
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
2.5Goals conceded / match2.3
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
52%Average possession54%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
5.4Shots on target / match4.3
Ajax IIDe Graafschap

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.4Shots per match14.6
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
5.4Shots on target4.3
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
9%Shot conversion8.9%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
52%Possession54%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
1.58xG for1.55
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
1.9xG against1.86
Ajax IIDe Graafschap

Shooting quality

Ajax II: AttackingDe Graafschap: Attacking
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
Accuracy (shots on target)38%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

De Graafschap is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Ajax II · 2 pts / match - De Graafschap

Ajax II
WLLDL
Season result split
20% W20% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-6
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
De Graafschap
WLWDW
Season result split
30% W20% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-5
1.10 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 2.03BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

De Graafschap is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.5 goals / match - Ajax II · 2.3 goals / match - De Graafschap

Ajax II scoring profile: very strong

Ajax II scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Ajax II keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

13Goals scored (season)13
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
25Goals conceded (season)23
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
3.8Average goals in match3.6
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
2Goals scored (last 5)8
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
11Goals conceded (last 5)6
Ajax IIDe Graafschap

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal90%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
30%2 goals40%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
20%3 goals0%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
10%4 goals0%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal90%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
70%2 goals60%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
40%3 goals30%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
20%4 goals30%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

66%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time60%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
20%BTTS in both halves10%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
20%Scored in both halves20%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS70%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
20%BTTS - last 580%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time70%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ajax II is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Ajax II · 0.7 pts / match - De Graafschap

Ajax II - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
De Graafschap - half-time state
10% leading40% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.7
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.7
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
1.1Goals conceded (1st half)1.2
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
1.8Average goals (1st half)1.9
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
40%Clean sheet before half-time10%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
60%No goal before half-time30%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap

After half-time (2nd half)

0.7Points per match (2nd half)1.3
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
1.4Goals conceded (2nd half)1.1
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
2Average goals (2nd half)1.7
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
30%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap
50%No goal after half-time60%
Ajax IIDe Graafschap

Ajax II - second-half results

10% W40% D50% L
10
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

De Graafschap - second-half results

30% W40% D30% L
7
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ajax II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-4-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
De Graafschap - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ajax II
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
5
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
2
5
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
4
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ajax II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.88
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
166%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 38% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

Ajax IILigaDe Graafschap
Average goals in match▲ 3.803.52• 3.60
Both teams scored▼ 60%66%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 60%66%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▲ 20%18%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%81%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%84%▼ 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.52
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
2.01
Home goals / match
1.51
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+28%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Ajax II 0 - 1 - 1 De Graafschap. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

BV De Graafschap
4 : 0
AFC Ajax II
AFC Ajax II
2 : 2
BV De Graafschap

FAQ

When do Ajax II and De Graafschap play?

Ajax II face De Graafschap on 19 October 2026 in Eerste Divisie at Sportpark De Toekomst. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ajax II and De Graafschap?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ajax II won 0, De Graafschap won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ajax II vs De Graafschap?

Ajax II score 1.30 goals per game on average and De Graafschap 1.30. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Ajax II's matches and 80% of De Graafschap's.

What form are Ajax II and De Graafschap in?

Over the last 5 games Ajax II have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and De Graafschap 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax II vs De Graafschap?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.