Ajax II vs Helmond Sport: match statistics
Ajax II, despite a difficult position in the table, demonstrates a clear advantage in home matches with a goal difference of -4 compared to Helmond Sport's catastrophic -15 on the road. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per match at home, while the visitors score a mere 0.69 goals away and fail to find the net in as many as 46% of matches. Helmond Sport loses 69% of their away meetings and has only a 15% success rate regarding victories, which, given their poor form (a series of losses in recent away matches), makes them a difficult candidate for points. Ajax II possesses a better average ball possession (53% vs 46%) and a higher xG (1.42 vs 1.26), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Considering all statistics, I expect a victory for the hosts, although their unstable form and high percentage of home draws (36%) do not allow for ruling out a split of points.
Ajax II vs Helmond Sport: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ajax II played Helmond Sport in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Ajax II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Helmond Sport: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ajax II scores 1.25 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Helmond Sport scores 1.25 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ajax II 64%, Helmond Sport 57%. Over 2.5: Ajax II 64%, Helmond Sport 64%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Ajax II has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.34. Ajax II: 11.7 shots per match, Helmond Sport: 12.0.
Match halves
Ajax II: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.86. Helmond Sport: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Ajax II: 76-90+ (12 goals). Helmond Sport: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ajax II, despite a difficult position in the table, demonstrates a clear advantage in home matches with a goal difference of -4 compared to Helmond Sport's catastrophic -15 on the road. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per match at home, while the visitors score a mere 0.69 goals away and fail to find the net in as many as 46% of matches. Helmond Sport loses 69% of their away meetings and has only a 15% success rate regarding victories, which, given their poor form (a series of losses in recent away matches), makes them a difficult candidate for points. Ajax II possesses a better average ball possession (53% vs 46%) and a higher xG (1.42 vs 1.26), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Considering all statistics, I expect a victory for the hosts, although their unstable form and high percentage of home draws (36%) do not allow for ruling out a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ajax II | Helmond Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Helmond Sport is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.86 goals / match - Ajax II · 1.71 goals / match - Helmond Sport
Ajax II scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Helmond Sport keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Helmond Sport scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Ajax II keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajax II
Over / Under - Helmond Sport
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Helmond Sport is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Ajax II · 1.43 pts / match - Helmond Sport
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajax II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Helmond Sport - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ajax II
Helmond Sport
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Ajax II | Liga | Helmond Sport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.11 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 64% | 65% | • 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 86% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ajax II 0 - 0 - 1 Helmond Sport. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ajax II vs Helmond Sport?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Ajax II 5:1 Helmond Sport. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajax II vs Helmond Sport?
Ajax II score 1.25 goals per game on average and Helmond Sport 1.25. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Ajax II's matches and 57% of Helmond Sport's.
What form are Ajax II and Helmond Sport in?
Over the last 5 games Ajax II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Helmond Sport 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax II vs Helmond Sport?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.