Ajax vs AZ: match statistics
Ajax vs AZ: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ajax played AZ in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ajax: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. AZ: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ajax scores 2.90 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. AZ scores 2.00 and concedes 1.20. League average: 3.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ajax 80%, AZ 50%. Over 2.5: Ajax 80%, AZ 40%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 72%.
xG, shots and style
Ajax has higher xG: 2.40 vs 2.01. Ajax: 22.2 shots per match, AZ: 16.9.
Match halves
Ajax: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.60. AZ: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.30.
Goals by minute
Ajax: 31-45+ (8 goals). AZ: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.78 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 72%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ajax sit 2nd in the table and have collected 10 points from their last 5 matches, while fifth-placed AZ have earned 7. The hosts have scored 11 goals in that period compared with the visitors’ 8, and average 2.63 xG and 25.2 shots per match at home; AZ average 2.06 xG and take 16.8 shots away from home. This points to Ajax creating more chances, although both teams average 2.2 goals at these venues and AZ have won 3 of their last 5 away matches. Caution is warranted, as Ajax concede an average of 1.8 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet, while AZ concede 1.4 goals away. The hosts’ greater chance creation gives them a slight edge, but AZ’s strong away form means a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have strong attacking credentials: Ajax score an average of 1.8 goals at home with an xG of 1.96, while AZ average 2.2 goals away from home with an xG of 2.06. Ajax concede an average of 1.0 goal at home, compared with 1.4 for AZ away, so both sides have a genuine chance of scoring. In their last five matches, Ajax saw both teams score in 80% of games, although the figure was only 40% for AZ, which tempers confidence in the prediction. The case for BTTS - Yes is also supported by the fact that both teams failed to score in just 20% of their matches in their respective home and away roles, while 72% of league matches have seen both teams score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Ajax score an average of 1.8 goals per match, while AZ average 2.2; their xG averages are 1.96 and 2.06, respectively, pointing to the attacking potential of both teams. Over the last five matches, Ajax games averaged 3.4 goals and AZ games 3.0, with 60% of matches in both cases going Over 2.5 goals. The case for Over 1.5 goals is also supported by this line landing in 80% of Ajax matches and 100% of AZ matches. The 3.30-goal forecast provides the strongest signal for this line, while higher totals are less certain, especially as only 20% of Ajax matches finished with Over 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ajax led at the break in 3 of the 5 matches analysed, while AZ were also trailing at that stage in 3 of 5, pointing to an early home advantage. Ajax conceded an average of just 0.2 goals before half-time, compared with 1.0 for AZ, making a home lead after 45 minutes the most likely starting point. Ajax’s recent form supports them holding that advantage: they scored an average of 2.2 goals across their last five matches and won 3, while AZ scored 1.6 goals and won 2. However, the 1/1 HT/FT pick is not clear-cut, as AZ averaged 1.6 goals after the break and won the second half in 4 of 5 matches, increasing the chances of a draw or a turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ajax | AZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ajax is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Ajax · 1 pts / match - AZ
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
2.9 goals / match - Ajax · 2 goals / match - AZ
AZ is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Ajax · 1.2 goals / match - AZ
Ajax scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
AZ scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajax
Over / Under - AZ
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.1 pts / match - Ajax · 1.5 pts / match - AZ
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AZ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ajax
AZ
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Ajax | Liga | AZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.20 | 3.78 | ▼ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 20% | 15% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 90% | • 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ajax 0 - 1 - 1 AZ. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ajax vs AZ?
The Eredivisie match finished Ajax 1:0 AZ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and AZ?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0, AZ won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs AZ?
Ajax score 2.90 goals per game on average and AZ 2.00. The Eredivisie average is 3.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Ajax's matches and 50% of AZ's.
What form are Ajax and AZ in?
Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and AZ 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs AZ?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.