Ajax vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ajax played Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Ajax: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Excelsior: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ajax scores 1.83 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Excelsior scores 0.92 and concedes 1.92. League average: 3.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ajax 75%, Excelsior 58%. Over 2.5: Ajax 58%, Excelsior 67%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Ajax has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.40. Ajax: 14.8 shots per match, Excelsior: 12.6.

Match halves

Ajax: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Excelsior: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Ajax: 31-45+ (6 goals). Excelsior: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
AjaxExcelsior
15Shots8
AjaxExcelsior
5Shots on target4
AjaxExcelsior
2.01xG1.11
AjaxExcelsior
9Corners2
AjaxExcelsior
98Dangerous attacks44
AjaxExcelsior
4Fouls13
AjaxExcelsior
2Cards1
AjaxExcelsior

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.83Goals scored / match0.92
AjaxExcelsior
1.42Goals conceded / match1.92
AjaxExcelsior
57%Average possession45%
AjaxExcelsior
6.17Shots on target / match4.33
AjaxExcelsior

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.75Shots per match12.58
AjaxExcelsior
6.17Shots on target4.33
AjaxExcelsior
12.4%Shot conversion7.3%
AjaxExcelsior
57%Possession45%
AjaxExcelsior
1.74xG for1.4
AjaxExcelsior
1.5xG against1.93
AjaxExcelsior

Shooting quality

Ajax: DominantExcelsior: Balanced
AjaxExcelsior
Accuracy (shots on target)42%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ajax is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Ajax · 0.8 pts / match - Excelsior

Ajax
DLWDL
Season result split
42% W42% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Excelsior
LWLDL
Season result split
25% W8% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-8
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ajax is 99% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - Ajax · 0.92 goals / match - Excelsior

Ajax is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.42 goals / match - Ajax · 1.92 goals / match - Excelsior

Ajax scoring profile: very strong

Ajax scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).

Excelsior scoring profile: very strong

Excelsior scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).

22Goals scored (season)11
AjaxExcelsior
17Goals conceded (season)23
AjaxExcelsior
3.25Average goals in match2.83
AjaxExcelsior
8Goals scored (last 5)5
AjaxExcelsior
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
AjaxExcelsior

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal75%
AjaxExcelsior
67%2 goals17%
AjaxExcelsior
25%3 goals0%
AjaxExcelsior
0%4 goals0%
AjaxExcelsior

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal83%
AjaxExcelsior
50%2 goals67%
AjaxExcelsior
8%3 goals17%
AjaxExcelsior
0%4 goals17%
AjaxExcelsior

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time33%
AjaxExcelsior
17%BTTS in both halves0%
AjaxExcelsior
50%Scored in both halves17%
AjaxExcelsior

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
AjaxExcelsior
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
AjaxExcelsior
80%BTTS - last 560%
AjaxExcelsior

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
AjaxExcelsior
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
AjaxExcelsior
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
AjaxExcelsior

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
AjaxExcelsior
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
AjaxExcelsior
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
AjaxExcelsior

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ajax is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Ajax · 1.17 pts / match - Excelsior

Ajax - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Excelsior - half-time state
25% leading42% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.17
AjaxExcelsior
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.58
AjaxExcelsior
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
AjaxExcelsior
1.67Average goals (1st half)1.33
AjaxExcelsior
33%Clean sheet before half-time50%
AjaxExcelsior
33%No goal before half-time42%
AjaxExcelsior

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)0.92
AjaxExcelsior
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
AjaxExcelsior
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)1.17
AjaxExcelsior
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.5
AjaxExcelsior
50%Clean sheet after half-time42%
AjaxExcelsior
25%No goal after half-time67%
AjaxExcelsior

Ajax - second-half results

42% W50% D8% L
16
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Excelsior - second-half results

25% W17% D58% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ajax - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Excelsior - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ajax
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
6
4
31-45
5
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Excelsior
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
0
4
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
5
46-60
0
4
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ajax

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Excelsior

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 55% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

AjaxLigaExcelsior
Average goals in match 3.253.34 2.83
Both teams scored 75%61% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%66% 67%
Clean sheets 17%20% 17%
Goal before half-time 100%88% 75%
Goal after half-time 83%86% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / match
1.50
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ExcelsiorYellow cardIlias Bronkhorst
  2. ExcelsiorGoalNoah NaujoksAssist: Rick Meissen
  3. ExcelsiorGoalNoah Naujoks
  4. ExcelsiorSubstitutionOn: Adam CarlénOff: Lennard Hartjes
  5. AjaxYellow cardJosip Šutalo
  6. AjaxSubstitutionOn: Kasper Dolberg RasmussenOff: Anton Gaaei
  7. AjaxSubstitutionOn: Davy KlaassenOff: Josip Šutalo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Joey KooijMatches officiated: 18
2.89Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 244%Home wins33%Draws22%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Ajax vs Excelsior?

The Eredivisie match finished Ajax 1:2 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs Excelsior?

Ajax score 1.83 goals per game on average and Excelsior 0.92. The Eredivisie average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Ajax's matches and 58% of Excelsior's.

What form are Ajax and Excelsior in?

Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Excelsior 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs Excelsior?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.