Ajax vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ajax play Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 22 November 2025 at 18:45. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Ajax: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Excelsior: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ajax scores 1.81 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Excelsior scores 1.26 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ajax 67%, Excelsior 65%. Over 2.5: Ajax 56%, Excelsior 62%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Ajax has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.39. Ajax: 14.9 shots per match, Excelsior: 12.4.

Match halves

Ajax: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.78. Excelsior: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.65.

Goals by minute

Ajax: 31-45+ (15 goals). Excelsior: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
AjaxExcelsior
15Shots8
AjaxExcelsior
5Shots on target4
AjaxExcelsior
2.01xG1.11
AjaxExcelsior
9Corners2
AjaxExcelsior
98Dangerous attacks44
AjaxExcelsior
4Fouls13
AjaxExcelsior
2Cards1
AjaxExcelsior

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.81Goals scored / match1.26
AjaxExcelsior
1.17Goals conceded / match1.65
AjaxExcelsior
56%Average possession48%
AjaxExcelsior
5.92Shots on target / match4.24
AjaxExcelsior

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.89Shots per match12.44
AjaxExcelsior
5.92Shots on target4.24
AjaxExcelsior
12.1%Shot conversion10.2%
AjaxExcelsior
56%Possession48%
AjaxExcelsior
1.73xG for1.39
AjaxExcelsior
1.46xG against1.67
AjaxExcelsior

Shooting quality

Ajax: DominantExcelsior: Balanced
AjaxExcelsior
Accuracy (shots on target)40%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Excelsior is 83% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Ajax · 2.2 pts / match - Excelsior

Ajax
DLDWD
Season result split
42% W42% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-15-6
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-5-4
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Excelsior
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W24% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-16
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-7
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ajax is 44% better for: goals scored per match.

1.81 goals / match - Ajax · 1.26 goals / match - Excelsior

Ajax is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Ajax · 1.65 goals / match - Excelsior

Ajax scoring profile: very strong

Ajax scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

Excelsior scoring profile: very strong

Excelsior scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).

65Goals scored (season)43
AjaxExcelsior
42Goals conceded (season)56
AjaxExcelsior
2.97Average goals in match2.91
AjaxExcelsior
6Goals scored (last 5)14
AjaxExcelsior
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
AjaxExcelsior

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal79%
AjaxExcelsior
61%2 goals32%
AjaxExcelsior
22%3 goals9%
AjaxExcelsior
6%4 goals3%
AjaxExcelsior

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal82%
AjaxExcelsior
42%2 goals59%
AjaxExcelsior
6%3 goals9%
AjaxExcelsior
0%4 goals9%
AjaxExcelsior

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time24%
AjaxExcelsior
8%BTTS in both halves6%
AjaxExcelsior
42%Scored in both halves24%
AjaxExcelsior

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
AjaxExcelsior
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
AjaxExcelsior
60%BTTS - last 580%
AjaxExcelsior

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
AjaxExcelsior
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
AjaxExcelsior
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
AjaxExcelsior

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
AjaxExcelsior
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
AjaxExcelsior
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
AjaxExcelsior

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ajax is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.81 pts / match - Ajax · 1.35 pts / match - Excelsior

Ajax - half-time state
47% leading39% draw14% trailing
Excelsior - half-time state
32% leading38% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.81Points per match (1st half)1.35
AjaxExcelsior
1.03Goals scored (1st half)0.62
AjaxExcelsior
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
AjaxExcelsior
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.26
AjaxExcelsior
58%Clean sheet before half-time56%
AjaxExcelsior
31%No goal before half-time44%
AjaxExcelsior

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)1.03
AjaxExcelsior
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
AjaxExcelsior
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)1
AjaxExcelsior
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.65
AjaxExcelsior
47%Clean sheet after half-time35%
AjaxExcelsior
36%No goal after half-time53%
AjaxExcelsior

Ajax - second-half results

33% W42% R25% P
65
Half-time points
37
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Excelsior - second-half results

21% W41% R38% P
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding91%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ajax - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Excelsior - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match1.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.82.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ajax
ScoredConceded
10
6
0-15
12
5
16-30
15
6
31-45
12
8
46-60
4
7
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Excelsior
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
5
8
16-30
8
8
31-45
4
16
46-60
6
9
61-75
12
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ajax

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Excelsior

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

AjaxLigaExcelsior
Average goals in match 2.973.17 2.91
Both teams scored 67%63% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%61% 62%
Clean sheets 31%20% 18%
Goal before half-time 83%80% 76%
Goal after half-time 83%84% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.17
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ajax 0 - 1 - 0 Excelsior. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Ajax vs Excelsior?

The Eredivisie match finished Ajax 1:2 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs Excelsior?

Ajax score 1.81 goals per game on average and Excelsior 1.26. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ajax's matches and 65% of Excelsior's.

What form are Ajax and Excelsior in?

Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Excelsior 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs Excelsior?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.