Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard: match statistics
Ajax holds a decisive advantage in home matches with a 64% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+10). The hosts average 1.73 goals per game at home while conceding only 0.82, and their 45% clean sheet rate confirms defensive solidity. Fortuna Sittard performs poorly away from home with a 64% loss rate, failing to register a single clean sheet and conceding an average of 1.91 goals per match. Ajax's superiority in possession (57% vs 47%), shots on target (7 vs 4.64), and expected goals (1.97 vs 1.22) further supports the hosts. The form of both teams in the last five matches (Ajax: 1.6 PPG vs Fortuna: 1.0 PPG) along with the clear difference in quality points to a certain victory for the home side.
Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ajax played Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Ajax: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Fortuna Sittard: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ajax scores 1.91 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Fortuna Sittard scores 1.50 and concedes 1.73. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ajax 73%, Fortuna Sittard 73%. Over 2.5: Ajax 59%, Fortuna Sittard 64%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Ajax has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.40. Ajax: 15.4 shots per match, Fortuna Sittard: 12.8.
Match halves
Ajax: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.86. Fortuna Sittard: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Ajax: 31-45+ (11 goals). Fortuna Sittard: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ajax holds a decisive advantage in home matches with a 64% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+10). The hosts average 1.73 goals per game at home while conceding only 0.82, and their 45% clean sheet rate confirms defensive solidity. Fortuna Sittard performs poorly away from home with a 64% loss rate, failing to register a single clean sheet and conceding an average of 1.91 goals per match. Ajax's superiority in possession (57% vs 47%), shots on target (7 vs 4.64), and expected goals (1.97 vs 1.22) further supports the hosts. The form of both teams in the last five matches (Ajax: 1.6 PPG vs Fortuna: 1.0 PPG) along with the clear difference in quality points to a certain victory for the home side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ajax | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ajax is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ajax · 1 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Ajax · 1.5 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard
Ajax is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Ajax · 1.73 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard
Ajax scores in 95% of matches (21 of 22 matches), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
Fortuna Sittard scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajax
Over / Under - Fortuna Sittard
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.77 pts / match - Ajax · 1.14 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 45%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortuna Sittard - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Ajax | Liga | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.23 | 3.22 | • 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 64% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 19% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 83% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ajax 1 - 0 - 0 Fortuna Sittard. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?
The Eredivisie match finished Ajax 4:1 Fortuna Sittard. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?
Ajax score 1.91 goals per game on average and Fortuna Sittard 1.50. The Eredivisie average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Ajax's matches and 73% of Fortuna Sittard's.
What form are Ajax and Fortuna Sittard in?
Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Fortuna Sittard 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.