Ajka vs Budafoki MTE: match statistics
The match between Ajka and Budafoki MTE promises to be a closely contested encounter between two teams from the bottom half of the table. Ajka holds a slight advantage as the home side with a 33% win rate at home, yet recent form (2 wins in 5 matches) is identical for both teams (1.2 points per game). Budafoki MTE displays poor away form (75% losses on the road, 63% of matches without scoring a goal), but their last 5 outings show improvement with 10 goals scored and three draws. Both teams have similar xG figures (1.34 for Ajka and 1.34 for Budafoki), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Considering the weak defense of both sides (Ajka concedes an average of 1.33 goals at home, Budafoki 2.25 away) and the goal difference of -5 for the hosts and -11 for the visitors, the most likely scenario appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either team.
Ajka vs Budafoki MTE: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ajka played Budafoki MTE in NB II (Hungary). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ajka: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Budafoki MTE: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ajka scores 0.71 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Budafoki MTE scores 1.00 and concedes 1.76. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ajka 29%, Budafoki MTE 41%. Over 2.5: Ajka 29%, Budafoki MTE 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Budafoki MTE has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.30. Ajka: 9.3 shots per match, Budafoki MTE: 10.8.
Match halves
Ajka: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.41. Budafoki MTE: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Ajka: 76-90+ (5 goals). Budafoki MTE: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB II: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match between Ajka and Budafoki MTE promises to be a closely contested encounter between two teams from the bottom half of the table. Ajka holds a slight advantage as the home side with a 33% win rate at home, yet recent form (2 wins in 5 matches) is identical for both teams (1.2 points per game). Budafoki MTE displays poor away form (75% losses on the road, 63% of matches without scoring a goal), but their last 5 outings show improvement with 10 goals scored and three draws. Both teams have similar xG figures (1.34 for Ajka and 1.34 for Budafoki), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Considering the weak defense of both sides (Ajka concedes an average of 1.33 goals at home, Budafoki 2.25 away) and the goal difference of -5 for the hosts and -11 for the visitors, the most likely scenario appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either team.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ajka | Budafoki MTE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ajka is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ajka · 1.2 pts / match - Budafoki MTE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Budafoki MTE is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Ajka · 1 goals / match - Budafoki MTE
Ajka is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Ajka · 1.76 goals / match - Budafoki MTE
Ajka scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Budafoki MTE keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
Budafoki MTE scores in 53% of matches (9 of 17 matches), while Ajka keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajka
Over / Under - Budafoki MTE
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajka is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Ajka · 0.71 pts / match - Budafoki MTE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Budafoki MTE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ajka
Budafoki MTE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB II).
Teams vs league
| Ajka | Liga | Budafoki MTE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.94 | 2.52 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 48% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 44% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ajka 1 - 0 - 0 Budafoki MTE. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ajka vs Budafoki MTE?
The NB II match finished Ajka 0:1 Budafoki MTE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajka vs Budafoki MTE?
Ajka score 0.71 goals per game on average and Budafoki MTE 1.00. The NB II average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Ajka's matches and 41% of Budafoki MTE's.
What form are Ajka and Budafoki MTE in?
Over the last 5 games Ajka have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Budafoki MTE 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajka vs Budafoki MTE?
The statistical background for Ajka vs Budafoki MTE — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.